Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
465 FXUS65 KREV 102006 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 106 PM PDT Fri Oct 10 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Breezy to gusty winds through today with potential recreation, aviation, and localized fire weather impacts. * A cold front Saturday morning will bring cooler temperatures and low chances for light rain/mountain snow showers this weekend. * Another storm arrives early next week keeping the cold temperatures, but with better chances of rain and mountain snow. && .DISCUSSION... Breezy to localized windy conditions will prevail once again this afternoon ahead of an incoming cold front set to push through Saturday morning. Wind gusts this afternoon will be widespread in the in the 30-35 mph range with windprone areas reaching 40+ mph. Sierra ridgetop gusts could also exceed 80 mph. While humidity will be trending 5-10% higher today, areas across southern Mono and Mineral counties could still face localized areas of enhanced fire weather conditions particularly through the Chalfant Valley. Winds could also result in hazardous boating conditions across area lakes, cross wind impacts for high profile vehicles, aviation turbulence,and areas of blowing dust downwind of dry lake beds/playa areas. A cold front will approach NE California this evening and pass through W.Nevada by early tomorrow morning. This will yield light rainfall chances this evening from the northern Sierra to NE California with generally light amounts (<0.05"). Snow levels will drop to around 6,000-6,500` behind the front with only a 10-20% chance of up to an inch of snowfall in the mountains. A low (10-15% chance) of stray thunderstorm is possible Saturday. Precipitation chances diminish Saturday evening which will be followed by clearing skies and colder temperatures. Lows are expected to be well below freezing across the Sierra and NE California. Meanwhile, rural valleys across western Nevada will also approach freezing. The Reno-Sparks area has only a 5% chance of seeing freezing temperatures, while Carson City, Lovelock, Fallon and Yerington have a 30-45%, and Susanville, Portola and Minden have a 70%+ chance of freezing on Sunday morning. Considerable uncertainty remains in regards to rain and snow chances early next week stemming from a closed low dropping south from the Pacific Northwest. Ensemble guidance shows considerable variance on the track and timing of the trajectory of the low with the best odds for rain and mountain snow favoring areas generally south of US-50 early next week. This also means that snow impacts to travel is on the table for Sierra passes in Alpine and Mono County. Any type of expected precipitation amounts and timing remains a low confidence affair at this point but be sure to keep tabs on the forecast if you have travel plans during this timeframe. Fuentes && .AVIATION... VFR conditions will prevail this afternoon; however, expect increasing winds this afternoon across all terminals. Afternoon gusts of 25-30kts are expected for most terminals this afternoon along with areas of LLWS and turbulence and continuing over Sierra terminals through Saturday morning along an incoming cold front. This cold front on early Saturday morning brings 10-30% chance for light and isolated showers for Tahoe and W.Nevada terminals. Fuentes && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...Lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening NVZ002-004. CA...Lake Wind Advisory until 8 PM PDT this evening CAZ072. && $$