Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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000
FXUS65 KREV 170909
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
209 AM PDT Tue May 17 2022


.SYNOPSIS...

Dry and warm temperatures will prevail through Wednesday, with an
uptick in afternoon breezes Wednesday. Stronger winds arrive with a
cold front Thursday followed by a brief cool down for Friday. Warmer
temperatures are expected for the weekend with no precipitation
showing up on the horizon at this time.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

No significant changes made to the ongoing forecast for the rest
of the week. Today will be the pick of the week, especially for
temperatures, dry conditions and little to no breezes.

Winds:

Northerly winds in the 10-15 mph range will shift to more breezy
on Wednesday as a system approaches the Pacific Northwest. On
Wednesday, west to northwest winds increase with gusts 20-30 mph
for most areas. Wind gusts will be closer to 35-40 mph for
northern Washoe County and the Surprise Valley. By Thursday, the
westernmost edge of a cold front will pass through the Sierra and
western Nevada bringing northwesterly wind gusts 25-40 mph. Winds
will be strong enough to produce impacts to backcountry
recreation, choppy lakes, aviation and travel concerns. The winds
shift Thursday night into Friday to an easterly direction with
stronger east winds along the Sierra crest possible (45 to 60
mph).

Temperatures:

Temperatures will remain solidly above average through midweek.
Blended model guidance shows temperatures peaking on Wednesday in
the mid 70s to lower 80s for Sierra valleys and solid 80s for
lower valleys. After the cold frontal passage on Thursday,
temperatures cool to near average with highs for lower valleys in
the low to mid 70s and low to mid 60s for Sierra valleys.

Next Weekend:

Temperatures rebound quickly back above average as high pressure
returns across the West. We`re looking at 80s for western Nevada
valleys and 60s to low 70s for the Sierra communities. With high
pressure across the region, warmer and drier will be the features
for the weekend. There are a few simulations that keep the ridge
a bit farther west and allow another fast moving and dry cold
front to push through western NV - if this happens, we could see
an uptick in north breezes Sunday afternoon. Beyond the weekend,
ensemble cluster analysis shows a flat, zonal pattern which will
keep the storm track directed at the Pac NW. We aren`t seeing any
big storm signals for now, but a few weaker shortwaves could pass
through like we are seeing this week.

-Edan

&&

.AVIATION...

Warming and dry conditions continue through Wednesday with light
convective turbulence possible in the afternoons with heating.
NW-N breezes up to 20 kts today.

More active weather returns from late Wednesday into Friday with
increased breezes across the region. West winds with gusts 20-30
kts Wednesday will increase to 25 to 35 kts Thursday as a cold
front moves through the region, then a transition to northeast-
east winds for Thurs PM into Fri AM behind the front.

-Edan

&&


.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/reno


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