Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
348 FXUS64 KSHV 042323 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA Issued by National Weather Service Fort Worth TX 523 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1236 AM CST Wed Nov 4 2026 - Cooler and drier air will continue settle into the region behind the recent cold front with more seasonable temperatures expected through the end of this week. - A weaker cold front will move through the region on Friday, reinforcing the cool and dry air mass already in place with little if any chance of additional rainfall. - An upper-level disturbance will eject the from the Rockies into the Southern Plains by late this weekend into early next week and may induce some scattered showers for parts of our region. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 319 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026 Northwest winds, in wake of yesterday`s cold front, have brought a drier airmass into the fire districts today. Expect sunny skies to prevail this afternoon, with highs in the low to mid 70s. By this evening, surface high pressure will settle over the area, yielding calm to light/variable winds and little cloud cover. With wet soils in place from yesterday`s rainfall, short-term models suggest widespread fog will develop across the region overnight. Can`t rule out some dense fog as well. The fog should lift by mid-morning Thursday. Similar weather will be on tap for the remainder of Thursday, as high pressure remains over the region. On Friday, a cool front will move across the region. Moisture will be limited with the front, but there could be enough dynamics to squeeze out some light rain, mainly north of I-30. Otherwise, expect the front to bring us a reinforcing shot of cooler and drier conditions for Friday and Saturday. By the end of the weekend into early next week, the pattern gets a little interesting. The NBM is keeping dry weather in the forecast, despite a closed upper trough diving out of the Rockies into western Texas and eventually over the region. Moisture will be limited, as the trough gets closer and directly over the area, out I wouldn`t be shocked to see some light rain develop over the forecast zones. At the very least, it will bring us cloudy skies and seasonally near normal temperatures /28/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 516 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026 VFR prevails across the region this evening with light and variable winds beneath a thin veil of contrails generally above 25 KFT. The main concern overnight into early Thursday morning will be the potential for areas of dense fog as temperatures quickly cool to near saturation after dark. Winds will generally remain calm overnight and we`ll show visibilities dropping after midnight and carry a TEMPO for 1/2SM FG at all sites into early Thursday morning. Fog should dissipate by late morning with VFR prevailing into the afternoon. A light southerly wind should prevail by afternoon. Dunn && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 319 PM CST Wed Nov 4 2026 Spotter activation is not expected at this time. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 47 74 53 72 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 45 75 48 76 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 39 74 47 70 / 0 0 10 0 TXK 44 72 50 69 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 40 77 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 48 75 54 71 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 44 75 51 72 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 44 80 52 76 / 0 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$