279
FXUS64 KSHV 100555
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1255 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

 - The arrival of the post-frontal airmass will continue into this
   evening as dry conditions prevail and cooler overnight lows
   emerge.

 - Relatively mild temperatures will be in the forecast to end the
   week and start the weekend.

 - Temperatures will rebound through the back half of the weekend
   and into next week as we near the low 90`s again.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1205 PM CDT Thu Oct 9 2025

GOES satellite this afternoon depicts a dramatic difference
across the FA when compared to this time yesterday as we have
replaced a mix of cumulus for clear skies. At the same time,
temperatures are running a few degrees cooler when compared to
just 24 hours ago, with a similar appearance in the regional dew
points. All of this is the result of the slow arrival of a post-
frontal airmass filtering into the region, while a digging trough
across the SE CONUS helps advect a robust layer of dry air from
the north/northeast. This can be seen in the 700-300MB RH output
from the recent deterministic guidance. The result, a notable drop
in dew point temperatures through the next 24 hours, allowing for
afternoon highs in the mid to upper 80`s to feel comfortable on
Friday.

This early Fall treat appears to be short lived as ridging across
west Texas slides eastward through the weekend. Locally, temperatures
will begin to climb with highs near 90, potentially even a degree
or two above, as early as Monday. By Tuesday, the center of the
ridge will be just off to the SW, lingering across the mid-TX
coastline, though it`s influence will still be enough to bump
temperatures up once again so that highs at or just above 90 deg F
are borderline areawide. Moisture rounding the western and
northern edges of the upper-level ridge will be close to our
northern zones, but confidence in measurable rainfall in the next
7 days continues to be low.

53

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1253 AM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

For the 10/06Z TAF period...Expect VFR conditions to continue
areawide, with little cloud cover. Northeast winds will become
light/variable to calm by the end of the period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1153 PM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  60  88  63  89 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  57  86  58  87 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  57  84  57  86 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  58  88  60  89 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  54  84  56  85 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  60  87  62  88 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  57  87  59  88 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  58  87  59  89 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...53
AVIATION...20