349
FXUS64 KSJT 162251
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
Issued by National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
551 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonably hot temperatures are expected in the first half of
  this week, but could trend a few degrees lower in the latter
  part of the week.

- Mainly a dry forecast first half of the week, with some low rain
  chances in the second half.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 255 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Our area will remain on the eastern periphery of an upper level
ridge through Tuesday. The ridge is still forecast to begin shifting
to the west and to become re-centered over the Baja Peninsula
Tuesday. Skies will be generally clear tonight and Tuesday.
Tonight will be warm and humid with overnight lows in the lower to
mid 70s. With the 850mb thermal ridge expanding a bit eastward
into our area on Tuesday, temperatures will be a few degrees
hotter than today. Highs will be in the upper 90s to 102 in the
Big Country and Concho Valley. With lee surface trough development
to our west and an increased pressure gradient, expect increased
and gusty south winds from late morning through the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 130 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Weak shortwave set to move across the Southern Plains for
Wednesday afternoon into Wednesday evening. CAMs like the NAMNEST
show a few storms developing Wednesday afternoon along a dryline
along the western or northwestern portions of the area. Any
convection that develops would shift northeast and may move
across the Big Country Wednesday evening. Carrying slight chance
to chance POPs for area mainly north of I-20. Chances farther
south into the Concho Valley and Heartland aren`t zero, but at
this point, will not mention in the forecast yet.

Upper level ridge builds into the Southeast US for the end of the
week into the weekend, with good southeast flow at all levels off
the gulf into Texas. This will bring mid and upper level
temperatures down a few degrees, as well an increase the chance
for at least some afternoon cumulus to develop. This combination
likely to keep highs more in the upper 80s to lower 90s across the
area. This is also a pattern where sea-breeze convection can
sometimes work its way very far inland and will start to mention
a few showers and storms across the Northwest Hill Country
counties.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 549 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. South winds
will increase late tomorrow morning, with gusts up to 30 mph in
the afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     76  99  76  97 /   0   0   0  10
San Angelo  75 100  74  98 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    73  98  72  97 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   73  97  74  94 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  76 101  76  98 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       73  97  73  98 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       73  96  74  94 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...AP