879
FXUS64 KSJT 291814
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1214 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

...New LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  Gusty north-northeast winds are expected this evening and
   Saturday night following a cold frontal passage.

-  Colder temperatures on Sunday, with temperatures remaining
   below normal through the early part of next week.

- Cooler temperatures in the wake of a series of cold fronts
  Monday evening into Tuesday and Wednesday night into Thursday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 220 AM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

Early this morning, a widespread stratus deck was firmly entrenched
across much of the state with temperatures in the upper 50s to low
60s. A developing low pressure system over the central Plains was
resulting in strong southerly flow which is bringing in plenty of
low-level moisture to the region. Thermal mixing will increase and
cloud cover should gradually break up through the morning, although
total clearing is not expected. The surface low will move eastward
by early afternoon and drag a cold front into the Big Country. High
temperatures are expected to reach to around 70 but will depend on
how quickly the front moves southward and on any lingering cloud
cover.  If the front moves in much earlier, areas north of
Interstate 20 may not get above the mid 60s.  This evening, the
front should continue quickly southward and shift winds out of the
northeast. Some light showers and/or drizzle are possible along the
front, but there is not much support available aloft for more
widespread showers. Behind the front, northeast winds of 10-15 MPH
should advect in much colder air.  As a result, temperatures should
drop into the 40s after midnight and into the 30s by sunrise. Some
locations in the Big Country will drop below freezing.  These cold
temperatures, combined with the winds, will produce wind chills in
the mid 20s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Saturday)
Issued at 1213 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

The upper-level trough centered across the Four-Corners today
will gradually track Southeast into the region by Sunday night,
keeping some moisture, and lift over the area into the start of
the work week. Therefore, there is some potential for rain showers
Monday morning in the far eastern and southeastern portions of
our area. With the increased cloud cover, also expect overnight
lows to be limited to the lower to mid 30s. As winds veer to south
and southwest, temperatures will be comparatively warmer Monday.
Highs on Monday will generally range in the upper 40s to mid 50s
north and east of a Sweetwater to Mason line, and in the mid 50s
to lower 60s south and west of that line.

A weaker cold front will move south across the Big Country Monday
evening, and across the rest of our area early Monday night. After
a cold start to the day Tuesday (morning lows mostly in the mid
20s to lower 30s), afternoon highs will be in the mid 50s to lower
60s as winds become south. Warmer temperatures will follow on
Wednesday, with highs in the mid 60s to near 70 under partly
cloudy skies and south to southwest winds. Another upper-level
trough and associated cold front is expected to track across West
Central Texas Wednesday evening into Thursday morning. This system
is expected to bring some gusty northerly winds and cooler
temperatures for Thursday morning through Friday morning. High
temperatures Thursday are expected to range in the mid 40s to mid
50s. Much of our area will have low rain chances (20-30 percent)
Thursday into Thursday night, when an overrunning pattern may try
to develop with an upper-level trough over the southwestern
CONUS.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1202 PM CST Sat Nov 29 2025

A cold front will move across the area today, clearing the I-20
corridor by around 20-21Z, KSJT and KBBD by 23-00Z, and the I-10
corridor by around 01-02Z. Winds will become northerly behind the
front, with speeds increasing to 15-20 kt and gusting up to 30
kt.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     31  43  35  53 /   0   0  10  10
San Angelo  33  43  34  58 /   0   0  10   0
Junction    36  46  34  60 /  10   0  10  10
Brownwood   32  43  34  49 /   0   0  20  10
Sweetwater  31  40  35  54 /   0   0  10   0
Ozona       35  43  36  60 /   0   0  10   0
Brady       35  43  35  53 /  10   0  20  10

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SK
LONG TERM....TP
AVIATION...42