Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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056 FXUS64 KSJT 190646 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 146 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Hot and dry weather will persist through this week and into the beginning of next week. - A heat advisory is in effect for the Big Country today. && .SHORT TERM... (Today and tonight) Issued at 125 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026 The short term forecast remains on track, with very similar temperatures expected today compared to yesterday. The heat advisory remains in effect for the Big Country this afternoon where highs will approach 106 degrees especially across Haskell and Throckmorton counties. Elsewhere, expect highs in the upper 90s to near 103 degrees. Skies will be mostly sunny, with south- southwest winds becoming breezy at times this afternoon. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Tuesday) Issued at 125 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026 Above normal temperatures will continue through the extended forecast. An upper level ridge is forecast to remain centered near the Four Corner region Thursday and Friday, with West Central Texas on the eastern periphery of the ridge. A weak cold front is forecast to drop south to near the Red River late Thursday. In addition, upper level disturbances will likely move from north to south along the eastern periphery of the ridge. The GFS, RRFS and to a lesser extent the NAM are developing isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms across the area on Friday afternoon, with less coverage Thursday afternoon. For now have kept PoPs below 15 percent, but higher rain chances might need to be introduced as additional high resolution data comes in over the next day or so. If any thunderstorms develop they will have the potential of producing strong gusty winds given the high dewpoint depressions. Highs Thursday and Friday will be in the upper 90s to near 104. This weekend into early next week, the aforementioned upper level ridge will begin to shift east toward Texas. This will result in dry conditions along with a continuation of the hot temperatures. Highs will be slightly hotter, in the upper 90s to near 106. Overnight lows will be in the mid 70s to near 80. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1234 AM CDT Wed Aug 19 2026 VFR conditions will prevail across the terminals the next 24 hours. Expect southerly winds near 10 knots, with occasional gusts between 15 and 20 knots after 16Z Thursday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 103 79 103 79 / 0 0 0 0 San Angelo 101 75 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 Junction 99 74 100 75 / 0 0 0 0 Brownwood 102 75 102 76 / 0 0 0 0 Sweetwater 104 77 104 77 / 0 0 0 0 Ozona 96 73 97 74 / 0 0 0 0 Brady 99 74 100 75 / 0 0 0 0 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... Heat Advisory from 1 PM this afternoon to 7 PM CDT this evening for Callahan-Fisher-Haskell-Jones-Nolan-Shackelford-Taylor- Throckmorton. && $$ SHORT TERM...42 LONG TERM....Daniels AVIATION...42