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000
FXUS64 KSJT 261905
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
205 PM CDT Tue Sep 26 2023

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 204 PM CDT Tue Sep 26 2023

Plentiful low level moisture, while being under the influence of
weak shortwave energy approaching from the west tonight may allow
for the development of an isolated shower or thunderstorm in
Crockett County this afternoon. However, coverage is expected to
be so isolated, will leave any mention out of the forecast. For
the rest of the overnight hours, expecting light winds, mainly
clear skies, and low mainly in the upper 60s.

For Wednesday, as a weak shortwave actually moves into the area
from the west/northwest, we could see slightly better afternoon
coverage of showers and thunderstorms for areas west of a
Ballinger to Mason line, and have included a 20% chance for
showers and thunderstorms Wednesday afternoon for these area.
Otherwise, highs will be a degree or two warmer, with light south
to southwest winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through next Tuesday)
Issued at 204 PM CDT Tue Sep 26 2023

For the long term, upper level ridging is still expected to
expand over Texas for the second half of the week into the weekend
timeframe. Temperatures will remain 5 to 10 degrees above normal
for both highs and lows, while the forecast remains generally dry
through Friday.

A large upper level low is still expected to develop over the
western CONUS by Sunday, putting west Texas under southwest flow
aloft. Showers and thunderstorms are expected to affect areas to
our west this weekend, but there is a 20% or less chance that some
of this activity could affect our far western counties from late
in the weekend into early next week. We should also see
temperatures cool a few degrees overall from Friday into early
next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Tue Sep 26 2023

VFR through the next 24 hours. Winds will be light and variable or
south/southeast at 10 knots or less. Could see an isolated TSRA
or two near the KSOA/KJCT sites this afternoon, but coverage is
not expected to be high enough to warrant a mention in the TAFs at
this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     68  93  67  94 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  67  93  66  93 /   0  20   0   0
Junction    67  92  65  93 /   0  20   0   0
Brownwood   66  93  66  93 /   0  10   0   0
Sweetwater  68  93  69  94 /   0  10   0   0
Ozona       68  91  66  91 /   0  20   0   0
Brady       67  91  66  92 /   0  10   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....20
AVIATION...20