527
FXUS64 KSJT 250819
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
219 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  A cold front will move through the area this afternoon and
   evening, bringing cooler temperatures tonight and Wednesday.
   Pleasant weather is expected Thanksgiving Day.

-  Low rain chances return Friday into the upcoming weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 207 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Dry and pleasant weather can be expected today, but a strong cold
front will enter the Big Country later this afternoon, bringing
much cooler conditions areawide tonight and Wednesday. Skies will
be sunny today, with light winds and afternoon highs mainly in the
low to mid 70s. The exception will be across the northern Big
Country, where highs will top out in the upper 60s behind the
front. The aforementioned cold front will push south across the
remainder of the forecast area this evening. Lows tonight will be
in the upper 30s and lower 40s, with highs on Wednesday mainly in
the 50s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 106 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Temperatures behind the front Wednesday afternoon will be around 10
to 15 degrees cooler than Tuesday. A surface high will build in
behind the front, causing decent radiational cooling conditions
Thursday morning. This will lead to a chilly start to Thanksgiving
with morning lows in the 30s. Thanksgiving afternoon will be mostly
sunny with highs in the 60s.

Rain chances return this weekend as another upper level trough sets
up over the southwestern United States. Moisture will increase
throughout the column ahead of the trough and we could see a few
disturbances move through the upper southwest flow. We`ll see low
rain chances (<30%) late Friday through the weekend as the trough
sits off to our west. The evolution of this upper trough/low varies
between models. Some have it approaching our area from the west
early next week, giving us decent rain chances, others push it
further south, giving us lower rain chances.

Another source of forecast uncertainty is the passage of a strong
cold front late this week or early next week. The European has a
strong front moving through late Saturday, bringing a much colder
airmass. The GFS doesn`t bring the front through until Monday. This
discrepancy in timing has led to a roughly 30 degree temperature
difference between models for Sunday`s highs. Our current forecast
is somewhere in the middle, leaning more towards the warmer
solutions.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1013 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

VFR conditions will continue through the next 24 hours. Winds will
remain under 10 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     72  39  59  38 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  73  40  59  35 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    77  40  63  35 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   73  39  59  34 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  72  40  58  40 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       74  42  62  38 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       72  40  58  35 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...42