684
FXUS64 KSJT 020520
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1220 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Additional showers and a few thunderstorms possible Friday
  through the weekend. Localized flooding is possible, primarily
  across the northwest Hill Country on Friday.

- Below normal temperatures expected through the weekend, with a
  slow warming trend next week.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday night.)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

A drier forecast for much of the area tonight, then rain chances
increase again Friday into Friday night. Rainfall has ended
across far southeast counties early this afternoon. A cold front
will move through the area tonight, bringing considerably cooler
temperatures to the region tomorrow. Most of the area will be dry
tonight, except for far southeast counties where some additional
rainfall is possible along the front, primarily east of a San Saba
to Junction line. However, not expecting any additional flooding,
as rainfall is not expected to be heavy. As such, the Flood Watch
has been canceled with this package.

Rain chances will increase again Friday into Saturday, as a
weakness aloft resides over the area, along with plenty of
moisture around. While widespread flooding is not anticipated,
additional rainfall over areas that received heavy rainfall last
night could lead to some localized flooding. The most favored
area for additional flooding concerns will be across the
northwest Hill Country, where rain totals between 4 and 7+ inches
occurred last night and this morning. There a slight risk of
excessive rainfall across this area for the tomorrow into
tomorrow night. Temperatures will be much cooler tomorrow,
with highs mainly in the mid and upper 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through next Thursday)
Issued at 223 PM CDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Still looking at some unsettled weather through the weekend, with
additional showers and a few thunderstorms possible. However, rain
amounts are expected to be fairly light, so not anticipating any
flooding concerns through Sunday. Dry weather is expected as we
head into next week, along with warmer temperatures. Highs will be
mainly in the 70s Saturday and Sunday, warming into the 80s for
much of the area by the middle of next week. Overnight lows will
be in the 50s and lower 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1203 AM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

MVFR to potentially IFR ceilings are expected to redevelop across
most terminals this morning, starting with KJCT, KBBD, and KABI
seeing low ceilings and then some showers after 12Z. KSJT and
KSOA are likely to see a brief window of MVFR ceilings this
morning with slightly less chances for shower development. Breezy
northerly winds are expected behind the cold front this morning,
with most terminals seeing gusts as high as 20 to 25 knots. By
tonight, another round of showers and MVFR conditions are expected
across all terminals.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     79  62  75  62 /  50  70  70  10
San Angelo  81  59  75  59 /  30  60  60  20
Junction    81  61  75  61 /  40  80  40  20
Brownwood   80  61  75  61 /  60  80  70  20
Sweetwater  77  59  76  60 /  40  50  50  10
Ozona       80  59  73  59 /  20  60  50  20
Brady       78  60  72  60 /  50  80  60  30

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...24
LONG TERM....24
AVIATION...TP