Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Las Vegas, NV

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064
FXUS65 KVEF 261922
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
1222 PM PDT Sun May 26 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Quiet rest of the holiday weekend in store with warmer
temperatures and less wind Memorial Day. Stronger breezes return
Tuesday and beyond while temperatures hover several degrees above
normal.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Through next Sunday.

Did blend some hi-resolution guidance into the NBM to increase PoPs
to 10%-20% along the southern Sierra of Inyo County Memorial Day
afternoon. Otherwise, still looking at great weather with plenty of
sunshine, temperatures several degrees above normal and any wind
gusts less than 20 mph.

GEFS and EPS mean H5 height output very similar through next
weekend. Passage of a trough to our north mid-week will keep heights
slightly suppressed leading to little change in high temperatures
between Tuesday and Friday. Trough will influence our surface winds
though, especially on Tuesday and Wednesday. Most places will feel
south to southwest winds gusts 20-30 mph. Locally higher gusts of 30-
35 mph will occur in northwest San Bernardino County. Heights begin
to rise next week allowing temperatures to potentially start
creeping upward. NBM has a nearly 60% chance of 100 degrees being
exceeded at KLAS next Saturday and Sunday, and about a 40% chance
Furnace Creek will exceed 110 degrees.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...Sustained winds of less than 10kts are
expected through Monday morning.  Winds directions will swing around
from the east-northeast early this afternoon to southeast by late
afternoon and then southwest after sunset.  Winds may occasionally
gust to 15kts after 22Z, but the best chances (20-30%) will be after
03Z once the direction turns to the southwest. Similar conditions
are forecast tomorrow, with wind directions following similar trends
to today.  VFR conditions will continue through Monday.

For the rest of southern Nevada, southwestern California, and
northwestern Arizona...Winds less than 12kts following typical
seasonal directional trends are expected across the region today
into Monday.  A few westerly gusts to 20kts are expected at KDAG
after 00Z, and a few southerly gusts to 18kts are possible at KBIH
tomorrow afternoon.  Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail with
only a few mid and high-level clouds AOA 12kft AGL along the Sierra
through the TAF period.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Pierce
AVIATION...Planz

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