Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Paducah, KY

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391
FXUS63 KPAH 121148
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
648 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Daily storm chances return by week`s end, along with more
  summer-like humidity.

- Getting warmer next week with lower 90`s possibly by the
  middle of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 158 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

An upper disturbance moving out of the southern plains will be
the primary driver for showers and storms the rest of this week
and into the weekend. High pressure will continue to move
eastward allowing surface winds to return to the south. The
combination of increasing moisture and an upper level
disturbance will bring increasing rain and storm chances. The
highest chances for the next 7 days looks to occur Friday and
Saturday when the upper disturbance moves directly overhead the
Quad State. Temperatures will be near normal today before
cooling slightly Friday and over the weekend associated with
more cloud cover and rain chances. Dewpoints rise into the low
to mid 70`s by the weekend bringing more summer-like humidity.

The first upper disturbance begins to move off toward the
northeast Sunday with another shortwave behind it. This and
additional waves will bring continued chances for showers and
storms to the region for much of next week. High temperatures
may hit 90 degrees by the middle of next week with heat indices
near 100 degrees.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 642 AM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

Morning fog at MVN/CGI/PAH will clear out shortly. BKN-OVC250
will be present for much of the day with decreasing cigs
expected late. Included PROB30`s for PAH and CGI after 9z
tonight when guidance shows an area of showers lifting from the
south. South winds around 5 knots are expected through the TAF
period.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...AD