749
FXUS63 KPAH 091201
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
601 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Much colder and blustery conditions are expected today through
  Tuesday morning. Morning wind chill values of 10-15 degrees
  are forecast on Monday and 15-20 degrees on Tuesday.

- There will be a chance of flurries or light snow showers
  tonight into Monday, with the best chances in southwest
  Indiana. No accumulation is expected.

- A significant warm up will begin Tuesday, and high
  temperatures by Saturday will reach the lower 70s. Other than
  a small chance of rain on Friday, the forecast will be dry.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 600 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 131 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

The much-advertised shot of Arctic air is arriving in the region
early this morning. High temperatures today will only reach the
lower to middle 40s, about 20-25 degrees colder than Saturday`s
values. Winds will be blustery from the NW as well, with gusts
of 20-25 mph possible through most of the day. As the 850 mb
front passes this afternoon, some sprinkles or even a stray
flurry are possible.

Tonight, temperatures at 850 mb will fall to around -10C, and
morning lows on Monday will fall into the lower to middle 20s.
Wind chill Monday morning will dip into the 10-15F range. High
temperatures Monday will only reach the upper 30s to lower 40s,
about 20 degrees below normal values. Overnight lows into
Tuesday morning will again fall into the lower to middle 20s,
with minimum wind chill values of 15-20 degrees forecast.

With N flow advecting clouds and moisture off Lake Michigan
into the region, areas of flurries and light snow showers are
possible during the morning and early afternoon. The best
chances of seeing precipitation will be in southwest Indiana.
However, no accumulation is expected.

Temperatures will begin to moderate beginning Tuesday as H5
heights begin to rise, and after a chilly start, high
temperatures will rebound into the upper 40s to lower 50s. Even
warmer temperatures are forecast for the the rest of the week,
in the lower to middle 60s on Wednesday and Thursday, the middle
to upper 60s on Friday, and the lower 70s to open next weekend.
The forecast will be dry, save for a very small chance of rain
Friday as a weak shortwave trough passes.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 600 AM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Post-frontal low stratus will bring MVFR restrictions to the
terminals through this afternoon before gradually lifting and
scattering out to VFR this evening. Gusty NW winds, sustained at
10-20 kts with gusts to 20-30 kts will gradually subside late
this afternoon through the overnight hours at around 6-12 kts.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS