238
FXUS64 KOHX 101145
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
645 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 145 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Other than a few stray showers over our northeastern counties
this afternoon, the short term forecast is quiet. Much drier and
cooler air moved in after the cold front passed yesterday, so
this afternoon will feel very pleasant. Any showers that develop
from a fast moving shortwave will be light and focused mainly
over the Cumberland Plateau this afternoon. This wave will likely
bring northwest winds around 10 to 15 mph today, but these will
calm down overnight tonight. A surface low traversing the Great
Lakes region will drag the tail end of a cold front through the
Tennessee Valley on Saturday, allowing for another brief shot of
scattered light showers that day. While we could see surface winds
turn southerly Saturday morning, they should return to a cooler
northwest wind by the afternoon and evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 145 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Saturday night into Sunday the upper trough will push east of us
and we`ll see some weak ridging develop as we head into Sunday.
This will boost afternoon temperatures close to 80 in some places.
Rain returns as early as Monday morning as that ridging quickly
moves east and a surface low heads our way out of the Central
Plains. Showers and storms remain in the forecast through the day
on Tuesday. For now, just general storms expected both of those
days...but the path of the aforementioned low will come into play
concerning any possible strong storms on Tuesday. For now, the
threat looks low.

There should be a break in the precip sometime late Wednesday and
Thursday, but another system quickly moves in toward the end of
the work week. Temperatures remain warm for the last half of the
week, maxing out around 80 each afternoon.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 641 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Had some patchy to locally dense fog overnight, but conditions
will improve in the next hour with sunrise. Low cigs will begin to
push southward over the next 6 hours, but some question as to how
far south they will get. Have left out MVFR cigs in the FM groups,
but wouldn`t be surprised if some see at least a period of MVFR
cigs. Winds will remain from the N/NW, before shifting after 00Z
and becoming SW near the end of the current TAF period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      72  53  77  53 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    71  51  76  50 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     67  45  69  46 /  20   0  20   0
Columbia       72  50  78  51 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     67  47  72  48 /  10   0  10   0
Jamestown      66  46  70  47 /  30   0  20   0
Lawrenceburg   72  50  77  52 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   71  49  77  50 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        71  51  77  52 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Whitehead
LONG TERM....Whitehead
AVIATION.....Adcock