Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

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FXUS65 KLKN 260914

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
214 AM PDT Fri Apr 26 2019

.SYNOPSIS...The chance for showers and thunderstorms will be
elevated across eastern Nevada today. The weekend is looking dry
and mild for northern Nevada however there will be another system
approaching southern California that could produce a few showers
late Sunday south of Highway 50. A cooler system will drop down
from the north early next week to bring some snow to the


.SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday.

Exiting short wave over Nevada producing isolated thunderstorms
over mostly the Interstate 80 area, between about Battle Mountain
and Ryndon. They are short lived, but persistent in this area.
Another stronger short wave will move southeast into the Great
Basin today with enough moisture to power thunderstorms over the
eastern half of the region. Do not expect flooding as they are
moving fairly quickly. They also should not contribute
appreciably to stream flows.

A break in the moisture stream occurs Saturday but then another
deeper short wave moves southeast from the northern Pacific into
the interior West Sunday. The greatest chance for precip will be
south of Highway 50 with moisture and dynamics. Moisture source
will be the closed low over the eastern Pacific, east of San

Max temps drop from 70s/80s today, to 60s/70s Saturday, to 40s/70s
Sunday. Lowest maxes will be in the higher valleys of far northern
Nevada. Min in the 20s-40s depending on latitude and elevation.

A bit breezy possibly today, especially far north and in
particular northeast corner of the state. No advisory but gusts
into the 30s at times.

.LONG TERM...Sunday night through next Friday. An upper-level
trough and cold front will swing southward into the state Tuesday
bringing widespread precipitation, albeit light in many
locations, across much of the state. This features will quickly
move out of the Great Basin with a ridge building over the US
Southwest Wednesday and Thursday. GFS is more progressive with the
next southern CA system bringing more showers to central
Nevada late next week while ECMWF delays this low until the
weekend. Overall, confidence is not very high for late next week.
High temperatures will drop into the 60s Tuesday and Wednesday of
next week as trough passes through the area before rebounding back
into the 70s late next week. Lows will generally be in the 30s
and 40s with freezing temperatures possible in some valleys Monday
and Tuesday morning especially across northern Elko county.


.AVIATION...Moisture and instability gets pushed eastward as a
short wave moves across northern Nevada on Friday. Thunderstorms
may be in the vicinity of KELY between 21Z-01Z. Do not expect
SHRA/TSRA to impact any other TAF site as drier air sweeps into
Nevada from the northwest. Some west to northwest G25-30kts are
expected across northern Nevada during the afternoon.


.HYDROLOGY...Rivers and streams are all subject to rises from
either local snow melt, or inflow from upstream or tribs. Warm
weather will continue, but with a minor cooling trend, which will
slow melt and help give time for water in channels to flow
downstream unaided.

The following warnings, advisories, and statements are in effect:

Flood Warning:
Humboldt River at Deeth, Battle Mountain, and Comus
(Note...flooding is not expected at Winnemucca until next week, if

Flood Advisory: Bruneau River at Rowland

River Statement: Salmon Falls Creek near Jackpot, Owyhee River
near Mountain City, Wildhorse Dam spillway.




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