Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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285
FXUS64 KCRP 081148
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
548 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 538 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

- Fog is expected to tonight with a medium chance of locally dense
  fog

- Marine fog chances increase next week

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1203 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

With our current south to southeast winds, we have begun to see
dewpoints rise across the region. This warmer more moist airmass is
expected to interact with the cooler sea surface temperatures and
increase our marine fog risk Sunday into next week. Apart from the
threat of fog, well above normal temperatures (5-15 degrees above
normal) are expected to continue through next week. As for
precipitation, dry conditions are expected throughout this forecast
package except for Monday night through Tuesday and Tuesday night. A
short wave disturbance is expected to trek across the region
increasing our rain chances. Models have backed off the rain chances
significantly with the best chances being well to the north. The
best chances for rain will be across the Victoria Crossroads with a
low 15% chance Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 538 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Poor aviation conditions ongoing across eastern terminals this
morning with LIFR levels affecting the sites due to fog.
Conditions are forecast to improve to VFR levels around 15-16Z
today, with these levels prevailing through late tonight. Another
round of fog is likely tonight resulting in MVFR/IFR levels.
Across western sites, VFR conditions will persist through the
cycle. Winds will increase above 12 knots across eastern terminals
this afternoon before becoming light again tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1203 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

A gentle (BF 3) to occasional moderate breeze (BF 4) can be expected
through next week. As a more moist airmass moves into the region,
the threat for marine fog over the bays and nearshore waters will
increase beginning Sunday. Dry conditions are expected throughout
this forecast package except for Tuesday and Tuesday night, where
low (10-20%) rain chances are expected as a disturbance moves across
the region.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1203 AM CST Sun Feb 8 2026

Minimum relative humidity values (RH) will improve from the teens to
35% range Saturday to the 30-60% range Sunday. While RH values could
briefly reach the 30% mark across the Brush Country next week, they
are expected to remain above critical values through next week.
Apart from the higher minimum RH values, Energy Release Component
values are expected to drop below the 75th percentile with winds
being relatively light. Therefore, elevated fire weather conditions
are not expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    78  56  79  61 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          79  54  79  58 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            83  56  85  61 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             82  53  83  57 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          73  57  74  60 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           81  53  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        80  54  82  59 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       72  60  73  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST this morning for TXZ231>234-
     240>247-342>344-346-347.

GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...ANM/88