Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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387 FXUS64 KOHX 101545 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1045 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1028 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 High pressure centered out west is producing a cool, north flow across Middle Tennessee today, which comes as a welcome reprieve coming off this week`s heavy rain and severe storms. An upper trough will finally come through early this afternoon and we can expect some additional cloudiness as a result, and maybe also a light shower or two along the Upper Plateau. And a weak surface boundary coming through tomorrow may also produce a few light showers in the same general area. Otherwise, the forecast through the weekend is mercifully free of rain and storms with pleasant, spring-like temperatures. This will give our rivers and streams the chance to recede, as we still have some gages that are in flood or at least above action stage. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1028 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 The wet pattern will return next week as a low pressure system comes out of the Great Plains beginning early Monday and keeps us active through midweek. At this time, we are not outlooked for severe storms with this system, nor is there any concern about heavy rainfall, as storm total QPF values are generally running around an inch or less. A subsequent frontal system will bring additional convection to the mid state Thursday and Friday with similar QPF values. Temperatures next week will stay close to or slightly above seasonal normals. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 641 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024 Had some patchy to locally dense fog overnight, but conditions will improve in the next hour with sunrise. Low cigs will begin to push southward over the next 6 hours, but some question as to how far south they will get. Have left out MVFR cigs in the FM groups, but wouldn`t be surprised if some see at least a period of MVFR cigs. Winds will remain from the N/NW, before shifting after 00Z and becoming SW near the end of the current TAF period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 72 53 78 54 / 0 0 0 0 Clarksville 71 51 76 51 / 0 0 0 0 Crossville 67 45 69 46 / 10 0 20 0 Columbia 72 50 78 51 / 0 0 0 0 Cookeville 67 47 71 48 / 10 0 10 0 Jamestown 66 46 70 46 / 20 0 20 10 Lawrenceburg 72 50 77 51 / 0 0 0 0 Murfreesboro 71 49 77 49 / 0 0 0 0 Waverly 71 51 78 51 / 0 0 0 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Rose LONG TERM....Rose AVIATION.....Adcock