Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FXUS64 KEWX 051923
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
223 PM CDT Tue Jul 5 2022

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Wednesday night)
Issued at 153 PM CDT Tue Jul 5 2022

A 592 to 594 dm mid-level ridge concentrating from the Southeast
CONUS into Texas will continue to dominate the weather throughout
the short term period. Our string of hot weather continues as a
result with afternoon highs ranging from the mid to upper 90s for
the Hill Country to 100-103 degrees elsewhere. Heat indices will
remain elevated in the 102 to 107 degree range for most except in
the Hill Country. Conditions remain warm at night with overnight
lows ranging from the low 70s in the Hill Country to the mid to
upper 70s elsewhere. Outside from a stray shower entering the
coastal plains late Wednesday along the seabreeze as a weak mid-
level inverted trough moves into South Texas, rainfall still will
not be expected. Expect for mostly sunny skies in the afternoons
through most of the night before some pre-dawn low stratus return
for areas generally along the escarpment. These low clouds then
generally lift by mid to late morning. Light to moderate south to
southeasterly winds continue with the breeziest conditions from
later in the afternoon through the first half of the night. As the
case for much of this summer so far, some locations will mix out
relative humidity levels into the mid to upper 20s, which could
combine with 10+ mph winds and dry fuels to make for elevated fire
weather conditions each day.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 153 PM CDT Tue Jul 5 2022

The upper level ridge will continue to dominate over the southern
United States through the long term period. Strong subsidence will
keep precipitation out of the forecast. This will also allow
temperature to creep upward. Only the highest parts of the Hill
Country and Edwards Plateau will stay below 100 degrees. We may need
to issue Heat Advisories starting Thursday south of I-10 and east of
I-37. Friday these temperatures will spread to I-35 and eastern Hill
Country. By the weekend Excessive Heat Warnings may be needed for the
Coastal Plains counties. Be prepared for these temperatures and take
precautions to avoid heat illness.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1222 PM CDT Tue Jul 5 2022

VFR flight conditions continue across the South-Central Texas TAF
sites through this afternoon and into tonight with decreasing fair
weather cumulus. A few high clouds may be possible as well. MVFR
ceilings then redevelop with increasing low clouds at the I-35 TAF
sites (KAUS, KSAT, KSSF) during the latter half of the overnight
into Wednesday morning. VFR flight conditions return by the mid to
late morning. Light to moderate south to southeasterly winds are
expected with the breeziest conditions from the late afternoon
through the first half of the night.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              76 103  77 102 /   0   0   0   0
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  75 101  76 101 /   0   0   0   0
New Braunfels Muni Airport     75 101  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
Burnet Muni Airport            74 100  75 101 /   0   0   0   0
Del Rio Intl Airport           78 101  78 103 /   0   0   0   0
Georgetown Muni Airport        76 100  77 101 /   0   0   0   0
Hondo Muni Airport             75 101  75 103 /   0   0   0   0
San Marcos Muni Airport        75 100  76 102 /   0   0   0   0
La Grange - Fayette Regional   77 100  77 102 /   0  10   0  10
San Antonio Intl Airport       76 100  76 102 /   0   0   0   0
Stinson Muni Airport           76 102  77 104 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...Brady
Long-Term...05
Aviation...Brady


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