424
FXUS64 KEWX 082004
AFDEWX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
304 PM CDT Sun Sep 8 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 251 PM CDT Sun Sep 8 2024

High pressure has settled over TX today. Breezy northeasterly winds
continue across our CWA. These winds have brought cooler, drier air
to South-Central Texas. Temperatures this afternoon are around five
degrees cooler than 24 hours ago and dewpoints are five to ten
degrees lower. High pressure will continue to dominate during the
short term. The low level flow will be northeasterly to easterly.
Surface winds will drop off to less than 10 mph after sunset this
evening. We will have another cool night with low temperatures in
the 50s and 60s again. Temperatures Monday will begin to rebound
with highs mostly in the 80s and lower 90s. Winds will be lighter
Monday still from the northeast to east. The warming trend will
continue Monday night with lows about five degrees warmer.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 251 PM CDT Sun Sep 8 2024

As the tropical disturbance over the west Gulf attempts to further
organize, the steady NE winds lighten up further with a more due east
direction over the Coastal Prairies bringing the dew point back up.
The moisture gradient and convergent wind field could send convection
as far inland as the I-35 corridor late in the day, but the overall
below normal amount of moisture should amount to a sea breeze effect
with light rainfall amounts. Wednesday could see a bit farther
penetration of tropical showers farther inland, but these trends
could go down once the disturbance attempts to become more organized
and centralized. The likely track of the disturbance should be on the
departing phase by daytime Thursday, and we should once again see a
seasonally warm and dry day with continental NE winds. The winds
change direction Thursday night, and a warming trend with higher
humidity will resume Friday into next weekend as mid level ridging
builds back over Central TX.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1221 PM CDT Sun Sep 8 2024

Mainly clear skies will continue through the new TAF period. Winds
from the north-northeast will be 10 to 15 kts with gusts up to 25 kts
this afternoon. Winds will drop below 10 kts after sunset. Wind
speeds will increase again Monday morning, but should be a little
lighter than today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Austin Camp Mabry              60  88  63  90 /   0   0   0  10
Austin Bergstrom Intl Airport  58  87  63  90 /   0   0   0  20
New Braunfels Muni Airport     60  89  65  91 /   0   0  10  20
Burnet Muni Airport            58  85  61  88 /   0   0   0  10
Del Rio Intl Airport           64  90  66  91 /   0   0   0  10
Georgetown Muni Airport        57  85  61  89 /   0   0   0  10
Hondo Muni Airport             60  88  66  90 /   0   0   0  20
San Marcos Muni Airport        58  87  63  89 /   0   0   0  20
La Grange - Fayette Regional   59  87  65  87 /   0   0  10  30
San Antonio Intl Airport       63  88  69  90 /   0   0   0  20
Stinson Muni Airport           65  89  70  91 /   0   0   0  20

&&

.EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

Short-Term...05
Long-Term...18
Aviation...05