Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
FXUS65 KLKN 170916

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
216 AM PDT Sat Mar 17 2018

.SYNOPSIS...A storm system will continue to affect portions of
northern and eastern Nevada this morning with snow. Otherwise,
snow showers will be the rule in the western sections. Look for
temperatures to remain below normal for the next several days
before warming by mid-week. Another system is waiting in the wings
for late next week.


.SHORT TERM...Today through Monday. Current radar is depicting a
line of snow moving across the eastern sections of the forecast
area this morning. Behind the line is a few spotty showers over
portions of Lander and Eureka counties. All models are showing a
large trough over the western United States that is responsible
for the snowfall over northern Nevada. Near term progs are
depicting a dry tongue moving into the base of the trough and will
be affecting forecast snow accumulations downward. POPs will
remain high during the Saturday morning period, but QPF will be
lower than previously anticipated. Will also make adjustments to
current hazard grids with this package as well. Highs this morning
will remain int he 30s and 40s, which is below normal for this
time of year. There may be peaks of sun during the day, but for
the most part, light snow showers and clouds will be the rule.
Winds will be breezy but well below wind advisory criteria. Some
clouds will stick around during the overnight, with some of the
more colder locales seeing temperatures in the teens, maybe even
the single digits.

Sunday. Large upper trough will pivot, causing some energy to be
shifted to the east. Over northern and central Nevada, expect west
to east flow over the area. Afternoon highs will continue to be
rather chilly with readings only reaching the mid to upper 30s, or
perhaps even the low 40s. By Sunday night, there is the
possibility of another morning of cold temperatures in the
normally cold locations reaching the single digits to the teens.

On Monday, west to east flow will continue over the region. There
may be some light showers along the border with Idaho, but
accumulations will be minimal in the valleys. Afternoon highs will
warm slightly but still remain below normal for this time of year.
Winds will be light.

.LONG TERM...Monday night through Friday. A weak impulse will try
to move across southern Idaho during the Monday night through
Tuesday timeframe. There could be some very light showers possible
during this period, but kept ghost pops in the forecast. Winds
will remain light in the afternoon with highs warming in the mid
to upper 40s to low 50s. Look for increasing chances for
precipitation Tuesday night and Wednesday with lows in the 20s and

By Wednesday through Friday, model simulations are depicting a
large area of low pressure trying to come on shore. Pops have been
raised accordingly during this time frame with snow levels
remaining high during the first portion of the storm, and then
falling by Friday. The storm is still too far out at this time but
it bears watching.


.AVIATION...Expect VFR condition over KWMC and KTPH during the
majority of the day. -SHSN will bring CIGS/VSBY down to MVFR/IFR
temporarily. IFR/LIFR conditions will continue in KELY due to
storm system moving slowly east. Low clouds will bring MVFR to
KEKO, otherwise, look for clouds to scatter later this morning.


Winter Storm Warning until 11 AM PDT this morning for Northern
Elko County.

Winter Weather Advisory until 11 AM PDT this morning for
Northeastern Nye County-South Central Elko County-White Pine



86/86/86 is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.