Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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000
FXUS63 KDVN 151946
AFDDVN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
246 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 246 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018

High pressure building into the area with mid afternoon
temperatures in the 70s and plenty of sunshine.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 246 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018

Forecast focus on quiet and comfortable weather as high pressure
builds into the area from the north.

Tonight: Clear skies and light winds with lows in the 50s. Far
northwest Illinois may see readings dip into the upper 40s.

Wednesday: A sunny day with light winds and highs in the lower 80s.
Dewpoints will be rather low in the lower 50s so humidity levels
will be comfortable, making for a pleasant late spring day.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday Night through Tuesday)
ISSUED AT 246 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018

Long Term Forecast Confidence Assessment...fair to good or average
to above average.  Little sensible weather impacts through Friday.
Above normal temperatures and dry with late spring weather.  Main
issue is highs may be 2 to 3 plus degrees higher than normal with
some upper 80s possible in the south on Thursday and Friday.
Secondary issue is precipiation chances this weekend with regime
marginal at best for decent precipitation due to long wave just east
of the area limiting forcing and moisture availability.

Wednesday night through Friday night...warm with mostly moderate
humidity. Highs in the 80s with again some mid/upper 80s possible
Thursday and Friday in south with risk some area highs may still be
a few degrees too cool. Dewpoints mostly in the 50s limiting any
heat stress.  Mins should be mostly within 3 degrees with low to mid
50s Wednesday night and mid to upper 50s Thursday and Friday night.

Saturday and Sunday...Areas of showers and Thunderstorms with chance
POPS most reasonable with best chances probably Saturday night. This
should be better known in the next 24 hours. Overall regime is not
impressive for severe or heavy rains unless trough to the east
moves. Temperatures to remains mostly in the 80s with mins upper
50s the lower 60s.

Monday and Tuesday...cooler and dry with temperatures near to
slightly below normal with mostly mid to upper 70s and lows mid to
upper 50s suggested.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday Afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CDT Tue May 15 2018

MVFR conds at KBRL gradually becoming VFR by late afternoon. At
KCID/KDBQ/KMLI VFR conds expected through this taf cycle. High
pressure ridge will be building into the area. Northeast to east
winds around 10 knots this afternoon, then variable less than 5 knots
tonight into Wednesday morning.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...21
SHORT TERM...21
LONG TERM...16
AVIATION...21



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