Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS62 KTAE 230022

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
822 PM EDT Thu Mar 22 2018


The forecast is on track and no updates are anticipated.



.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

As a low level ridge of high pressure slides into the southeast
overnight, expect lighter winds and mostly clear skies. Low
temperatures will be below normal once again overnight, dipping into
the mid 30s to low 40s over much of the area, mid 40s along the
Panhandle coastline.

.SHORT TERM [Friday Through Saturday Night]...

Upper level trough axis is situated to the east with an upper
level ridge building into the central CONUS. This will keep the
mid to upper levels in northwest flow. Meanwhile at the surface,
high pressure slides across the area on Friday with moisture
increasing on Saturday as the center of the high shifts into the
Atlantic and low level winds become southerly. This will help to
warm temperatures from the upper 60s to lower 70s on Friday into
the mid to upper 70s on Saturday. Lows in the mid 40s Friday night
will increase into the upper 50s to mid 60s on Saturday. While
Friday and Saturday will be dry, low end precipitation chances
(20%) will return to the northern portion of the CWA Saturday
night as moisture increases and a front across the southeast sinks

.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Thursday]...

Front will sink southward on Sunday bringing a chance of rain to
the northern portion of the CWA. Wedge will build into the
southeast with cloudy conditions for Monday. In addition, the
wedge will help to limit high temperatures across the northern
portion of the CWA to the lower 60s while it will warm into the
lower 70s closer to the coast. As the wedge breaks down and upper
level ridging builds in, high temperatures will warm into the 80s
by mid-week. The next cold front appears to hold off until just
after the long term period.


[Through 00z Saturday] VFR conditions are expected through the
period. Winds will diminish quickly after sunset this evening and
remain light through the period as high pressure moves into the


High pressure will slide across the marine area tomorrow and
bring winds to the northeast on Friday and around to the south by
Saturday. Small craft exercise caution conditions will occur on
and off through Saturday night with stronger winds to advisory
level possible early next week.


Relative humidity values near critical levels are expected again on
Friday afternoon before humidity starts to increase on Saturday.
However, winds are expected to remain low enough to preclude red
flag conditions.


A few river sites remain in action stage but are cresting or
falling as of this afternoon. While low end rain chances return
for next week, precipitation amounts are limited and thus flooding
is not anticipated.


Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.



Tallahassee   39  70  45  76  59 /   0   0   0   0  10
Panama City   46  67  55  74  64 /   0   0   0   0  10
Dothan        41  69  48  77  61 /   0   0   0   0  10
Albany        39  68  46  78  61 /   0   0   0   0  20
Valdosta      35  68  44  76  57 /   0   0   0   0  10
Cross City    36  70  43  75  57 /   0   0   0   0   0
Apalachicola  43  67  52  72  63 /   0   0   0   0  10


FL...High Rip Current Risk until midnight EDT /11 PM CDT/ tonight for
     Coastal Gulf.



NEAR TERM...Nguyen
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