Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 062321
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
521 PM CST Sat Mar 6 2021

.DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

There is a slight chance of low ceilings for MAF, HOB, and INK
beginning around 12z but confidence is low. Winds will mostly be
out of the southeast and will become gusty Sunday afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 143 PM CST Sat Mar 6 2021/

DISCUSSION...

Our surface high has moved off into AR, allowing winds to calm
today. In the absence of lee troughing, highs this afternoon will
stay cooler in the 60s with mostly 30s overnight. Ridging won`t
return until Monday, so highs on Sunday will be very similar to
today. Luckily, mostly sunny skies and calm winds will keep this
weekend pleasant, even if temperatures are below normal.

As mentioned, ridging and southerly flow will return for Monday,
helping us warm up quickly with highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s.
Unfortunately, these warmer temps will be paired with stronger winds
as our gradient tightens. This trend will continue as temperatures
hit the 70s and 80s Tue-Thurs with high clouds expected each
afternoon. Winds will be increasing as well during the week, with
Wednesday looking to be the windiest day. High winds will be
possible in the Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains for an extended
period of time between Wednesday afternoon and Saturday, but will
hold off on issuing any products until better alignment in models.
A receding dryline will collide with a Pacific front late
Thursday, and models indicate that some precipitation may occur
Friday-Sun morning, especially in the Permian Basin. Models are
still very much in disagreement on the timing and location of
storms, so stay tuned!

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     39  63  44  66 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       35  64  38  72 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         44  64  45  70 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  41  65  43  73 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 37  62  44  69 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          35  59  38  68 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          29  66  32  71 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           39  62  44  67 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         38  62  43  67 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           37  65  40  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/99



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