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000
FXUS64 KMAF 201126
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
626 AM CDT Mon Aug 20 2018

.DISCUSSION...
See 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
A line of TS is moving south into the area this morning, but it is
diminishing. HOB/CNM/INK are most likely to see TS and have
included it in TEMPO through 14Z for those sites. It may impact
MAF and PEQ but will amend to include for those sites if needed.
Winds are becoming northeasterly and will become easterly or
southeasterly through the TAF period.

Hennig

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 310 AM CDT Mon Aug 20 2018/

DISCUSSION...

A mid level impulse along with a southward moving cold front will
bring a chance of storms to much of the Permian Basin this
morning. Storms are beginning to develop south of Lubbuck and will
slowly move south through the morning hours. Moderate to locally
heavy rain could cause minor flooding especially in urban areas.
These storms along with the cold front will move south across the
area with "cooler", drier air filtering in by this afternoon. High
temperatures should be much closer to normal today.

The heat quickly returns Tuesday through the rest of the week as
upper ridging builds back in from the west. Subsidence will keep
skies dry while increasing heights and mid level temperatures will
allow afternoon highs to climb back above normal. The hottest days
look to be Thursday and Friday when many locations outside of the
mountains could see temperatures near or above 100. An early look at
the weekend ahead currently looks hot and dry as well.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     94  73  97  75 /  40  10  10   0
Carlsbad                       91  71  95  71 /  40  10  10   0
Dryden                         98  75  98  75 /  20  10  10   0
Fort Stockton                  94  72  95  71 /  40  10  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 87  68  89  68 /  30  10  10   0
Hobbs                          88  69  92  69 /  50  10  10   0
Marfa                          89  62  89  62 /  20  10  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           94  75  97  75 /  50  10  10   0
Odessa                         93  74  97  74 /  50  10  10   0
Wink                           96  74  99  74 /  50  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/10