Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS New Orleans/Baton Rouge, LA

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FXUS64 KLIX 170847
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
347 AM CDT Wed Jul 17 2019

.SHORT TERM...
The heat will be with us for several days and heat index values
will rise to around 105 each day. This will eventually be cut as
we move through the weekend into the new week. Precip numbers will
move slowly upward over the weekend and even moreso into the new
week. An actual cold front looks to make a visit by the start to
middle of next week and this is the main reason for the higher
precip numbers next week. Fronts getting this far south without
being strongly modified are rare to say the least. And if this
front is able to move past the area, there could be some warmer
temps in store but we will have to see how this all works out as
it is at the end of this fcast cycle. At the moment, svr wx
numbers are low regarding this front. But this could change as we
move closer to that time and that would not be uncommon.

&&

.AVIATION...

With the exception of MVFR ceiling at KGPT, VFR conditions have been
the rule this morning. Cannot rule out one or two other sites having
brief restrictions around sunrise, but threat isn`t high enough to
mention. KGPT should return to VFR conditions by 15z. Threat of
convection is also too low to mention, so VFR conditions expected
through the remainder of the forecast package. 35

&&

.MARINE...

Should see more of a normal summertime pattern with an evening wind
maxima around 10-12 knots over the eastern waters. As the weekend
approaches, high pressure will center over the coastal waters with
winds more light and variable. 35

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS code: Blue.
Deployed: None.
Activation: None.
Activities: River flood warnings.

Decision Support Services (DSS) Code Legend
Green  = No weather impacts that require action.
Blue   = Long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or high
         visibility event; Marginal risk severe or excessive rain.
Yellow = Heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning or
         advisory issuances; radar support for slight risk severe
         or excessive rain.
Orange = High Impacts; Enhanced risk severe; nearby tropical events;
         HazMat or other large episodes.
Red =    Full engagement for Moderate to high risk of severe and/or
         excessive rainfall, or direct tropical threats; Events of
         National Significance.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  91  73  92  73 /  10   0  20   0
BTR  90  75  91  74 /  20   0  30   0
ASD  92  75  92  75 /  10   0  20   0
MSY  91  77  91  77 /  10   0  30   0
GPT  90  76  91  76 /  10   0  10   0
PQL  93  75  93  75 /  10   0  10   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$



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