Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 180750
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018

.DISCUSSION...
The Southern Appalachian Region will be in a quiet weather
pattern today for dry and warm conditions. The chance of showers
and thunderstorms will slowly increase across the area beginning
Thursday and continue through the end of the week.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-190900-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (+2)   58-63 (-2)   81-86
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-20)  89-94 (-7)   44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           None         None         Showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    3 PM
Precip end                                      7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6700                      7300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4700                      5200
Transport wnd (mph)   N  9                      S  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    60300                     65700
Dispersion            35 Fair                   42 Gen good
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6         NE  5        S  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Southeast
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-190900-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      78-83 (+2)   56-61 (-4)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      42-47 (-20)  92-97 (-4)   47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  6 G15                  SE  6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      SE  6 G16
Precip type           None         None         Showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    2 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.06
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      7200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3600                      4400
Transport wnd (mph)   N 10                      S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    64000                     86400
Dispersion            33 Fair                   45 Gen good
Max LVORI             3                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  8                      SE  7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  9         NE  5        SE  8 G16

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 50s to upper 60s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 60s to upper 80s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-190900-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      78-83 (+1)   59-64 (-2)   77-82
RH % (24h trend)      43-48 (-18)  95-100 (-2)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  6                     S  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  8 G15     E  5         S  7 G15
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    12 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.10
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6100                      6800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3100                      3700
Transport wnd (mph)   N 10                      S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    61000                     81600
Dispersion            26 Fair                   36 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  8                     S  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  9         E  7         S  8 G15

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s to upper 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
60s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 80s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 80s. South
winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-190900-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      82-87 (0)    62-67 (-1)   82-87
RH % (24h trend)      45-50 (-12)  92-97 (-4)   55-60
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  7 G15     LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    12 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.10
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3700                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)   N 12                      S  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    69600                     54000
Dispersion            37 Fair                   32 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  6                      SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  9         NE  6        S  7

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to
lower 80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 60s to mid
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to 80s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-190900-
Nantahala National Forest-
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      81-86 (0)    61-66 (-2)   81-86
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-9)   94-99 (-1)   56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     N  5                      LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G15    LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            30
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    12 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.12
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6300                      6200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4000                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)   N 10                      SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    63000                     62000
Dispersion            37 Fair                   34 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     N  6                      SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9        NE  6        SE  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 70s to 80s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the 70s to lower
80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-190900-
East Tennessee District East-
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      83-88 (+1)   60-65 (-3)   83-88
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-17)  87-92 (-9)   44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    3 PM
Precip end                                      7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.05
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6400                      6300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4900                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)   N  8                      S 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    51200                     63000
Dispersion            32 Fair                   41 Gen good
Max LVORI             3                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      S  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the 60s to lower 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 70s to lower 90s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
70s to mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s to mid
80s. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-190900-
East Tennessee District West-
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      84-89 (+1)   62-67 (-2)   84-89
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-16)  88-93 (-7)   45-50
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    2 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI/Haines           5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    6200                      6000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   5000                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   N  8                      S  7
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    49600                     42000
Dispersion            36 Fair                   28 Fair
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6         LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 70s to lower 90s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the 70s to
mid 80s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the 70s to lower 80s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s.
Highs in the mid 70s to upper 80s. Northeast winds less than
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper 80s. Light
winds.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-190900-
Cumberland District South-
350 AM EDT Wed Jul 18 2018 /250 AM CDT Wed Jul 18 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Thu

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      85-90 (0)    64-69 (0)    85-90
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (-14)  87-92 (-9)   46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NE  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           None         None         Tstms
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20
Precip duration                                 1
Precip begin                                    1 PM
Precip end                                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI/Haines           5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5900                      5800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4800                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)   N  9                      SE  5
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    53100                     29000
Dispersion            38 Fair                   18 Gen poor
Max LVORI             4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NE  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  7         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. South winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows near 70.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the upper
70s to lower 90s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the 70s to upper
80s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the 80s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the 80s to lower 90s. Light
winds.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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