Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 241851
FWFMRX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
.DISCUSSION...
The coverage and intensity of rain showers will
gradually taper off overnight as a low pressure system moves off to
our east. Cloudy skies and the possibility of isolated showers will
persist on Wednesday. Temperatures will remain a few degrees below
seasonal normals.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover Cloudy MCldy MCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 48-53 (-2) 59-64 (+1) 43-48 59-64
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+9) 59-64 (-9) 93-98 51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 7 G17 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR NW 8 G18 NW 5 G16 LGT/VAR
Precip type showers showers showers showers
Chance precip (%) 70 50 30 60
Precip duration 2 1 1 2
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Precip end Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Precip amount 0.16 0.07 0.01 0.12
LAL 2 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5500 6800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3400 4700
Transport wnd (mph) NW 17 SE 9
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 93500 61200
Dispersion 49 Gen good 36 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 8 G17 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) NW 5 NW 10 G18 NW 6 G16 LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover Cloudy MCldy MCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 45-50 (-2) 56-61 (0) 42-47 56-61
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (+6) 62-67 (-8) 93-98 57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 9 G22 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR NW 10 G25 NW 8 G23 LGT/VAR
Precip type showers showers showers showers
Chance precip (%) 70 60 20 70
Precip duration 3 2 1 2
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Precip end Continuing Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Precip amount 0.25 0.12 0.01 0.18
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5600 6100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2900 3300
Transport wnd (mph) NW 20 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 112000 48800
Dispersion 46 Gen good 22 Fair
Max LVORI 4 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 11 G22 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) W 6 G15 NW 13 G25 NW 10 G23 S 5
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ072-074-252000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 45-50 (-3) 57-62 (+3) 43-48 55-60
RH % (24h trend) 93-98 (0) 61-66 (-14) 90-95 62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 8 G21 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) W 7 G18 NW 9 G23 N 7 G22 LGT/VAR
Precip type showers showers showers showers
Chance precip (%) 60 60 20 70
Precip duration 3 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing Continuing 8 AM
Precip end Continuing Continuing 5 AM Continuing
Precip amount 0.24 0.13 0.01 0.29
LAL 3 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6300 4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3300 1700
Transport wnd (mph) NW 16 SE 8
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 100800 37600
Dispersion 40 Fair 12 Poor
Max LVORI 5 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 11 G21 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) W 9 G18 NW 11 G23 N 9 G22 NW 6
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to
lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ087-102-252000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 47-52 (-3) 61-66 (+4) 46-51 58-63
RH % (24h trend) 93-98 (-2) 55-60 (-21) 91-96 61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 8 G20 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) NW 7 G16 NW 9 G22 N 6 G21 LGT/VAR
Precip type tstms showers NONE showers
Chance precip (%) 60 40 0 70
Precip duration 2 1 3
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip end Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Precip amount 0.11 0.05 0.00 0.32
LAL 3 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5700 3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3700 1700
Transport wnd (mph) NW 17 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 96900 38000
Dispersion 51 Gen good 16 Gen poor
Max LVORI 4 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 10 G20 N 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) NW 8 G16 NW 11 G22 N 8 G21 E 5
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
NCZ060-061-252000-
Nantahala National Forest-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 46-51 (-4) 62-67 (+5) 44-49 58-63
RH % (24h trend) 95-100 (-2) 52-57 (-24) 94-99 61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 8 G20 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) NW 6 NW 9 G22 NW 6 G20 LGT/VAR
Precip type showers showers NONE showers
Chance precip (%) 50 30 0 70
Precip duration 1 1 3
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip end Continuing 7 PM Continuing
Precip amount 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.32
LAL 3 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 6200 4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4000 2400
Transport wnd (mph) NW 18 SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 111600 61100
Dispersion 62 Good 26 Fair
Max LVORI 4 5
33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 10 G20 S 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) NW 8 NW 12 G22 NW 8 G20 S 6
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252000-
East Tennessee District East-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 48-53 (-3) 62-67 (+1) 44-49 60-65
RH % (24h trend) 93-98 (+7) 55-60 (-8) 95-100 56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph) W 8 G17 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) W 5 NW 8 G20 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type showers showers showers showers
Chance precip (%) 60 40 0 60
Precip duration 2 1 2
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip end Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.13 0.05 0.00 0.16
LAL 3 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5500 5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4000 3900
Transport wnd (mph) NW 15 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82500 54000
Dispersion 51 Gen good 36 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) W 10 G17 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) W 7 NW 11 G20 NW 6 G15 N 5
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252000-
East Tennessee District West-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 49-54 (-2) 62-67 (+2) 46-51 60-65
RH % (24h trend) 92-97 (-2) 54-59 (-17) 92-97 56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 7 G15 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph) NW 5 NW 7 G16 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
Precip type showers showers NONE showers
Chance precip (%) 40 30 0 50
Precip duration 1 1 1
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip end Continuing 6 PM Continuing
Precip amount 0.05 0.03 0.00 0.18
LAL 3 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5900 4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4600 3200
Transport wnd (mph) NW 14 E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82600 45000
Dispersion 54 Gen good 27 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 8 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph) NW 7 NW 9 G16 N 5 LGT/VAR
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ077-079>085-097>101-252000-
Cumberland District South-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018 /151 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018/
Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud cover MCldy MCldy MCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 49-54 (-3) 64-69 (+3) 47-52 60-65
RH % (24h trend) 90-95 (-4) 52-57 (-15) 92-97 60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph) NW 8 G21 E 5
20ft Wind-PM(mph) NW 8 G19 NW 9 G22 N 5 G17 LGT/VAR
Precip type showers showers showers showers
Chance precip (%) 40 20 20 70
Precip duration 1 1 1 3
Precip begin 8 PM Continuing 2 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing 5 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.27
LAL 3 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 3 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5200 3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4100 2200
Transport wnd (mph) NW 16 E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 39600
Dispersion 55 Gen good 23 Fair
Max LVORI 4 4
33ft wind-AM(mph) NW 11 G21 E 6
33ft wind-PM(mph) NW 9 G19 NW 11 G22 N 6 G17 NE 5
Remarks...None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Morristown, TN Weather Forecast Office
- 5974 Commerce Blvd.
- Morristown, TN 37814
- (423) 586-3771
- Page Author: MRX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: sr-mrx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Mar 8th, 2018 20:36 UTC