Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 241851
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

.DISCUSSION...
The coverage and intensity of rain showers will
gradually taper off overnight as a low pressure system moves off to
our east. Cloudy skies and the possibility of isolated showers will
persist on Wednesday. Temperatures will remain a few degrees below
seasonal normals.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-252000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (-2)   59-64 (+1)   43-48        59-64
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+9)  59-64 (-9)   93-98        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G17                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW  8 G18    NW  5 G16    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     70           50           30           60
Precip duration       2            1            1            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.16         0.07         0.01         0.12
LAL                   2            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      6800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3400                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 17                     SE  9
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 93500                     61200
Dispersion                         49 Gen good               36 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G17                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        NW 10 G18    NW  6 G16    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s. West
winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-252000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-2)   56-61 (0)    42-47        56-61
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+6)  62-67 (-8)   93-98        57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  9 G22                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      NW 10 G25    NW  8 G23    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     70           60           20           70
Precip duration       3            2            1            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.25         0.12         0.01         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      6100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2900                      3300
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 20                     SE  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 112000                    48800
Dispersion                         46 Gen good               22 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 11 G22                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  6 G15     NW 13 G25    NW 10 G23    S  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. South winds
less than 10 mph shifting to the west after midnight.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-252000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-3)   57-62 (+3)   43-48        55-60
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (0)    61-66 (-14)  90-95        62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G21                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  7 G18     NW  9 G23    N  7 G22     LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     60           60           20           70
Precip duration       3            2            1            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   5 AM         Continuing
Precip amount         0.24         0.13         0.01         0.29
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6300                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3300                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 16                     SE  8
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 100800                    37600
Dispersion                         40 Fair                   12 Poor
Max LVORI                          5                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 11 G21                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  9 G18     NW 11 G23    N  9 G22     NW  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to upper 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 50s to lower 70s. North
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to
lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
50s to upper 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-252000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-3)   61-66 (+4)   46-51        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (-2)   55-60 (-21)  91-96        61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  7 G16    NW  9 G22    N  6 G21     LGT/VAR
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     60           40           0            70
Precip duration       2            1                         3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing                8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.11         0.05         0.00         0.32
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5700                      3800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                3700                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 17                     E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 96900                     38000
Dispersion                         51 Gen good               16 Gen poor
Max LVORI                          4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 10 G20                 N  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G16    NW 11 G22    N  8 G21     E  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-252000-
Nantahala National Forest-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      46-51 (-4)   62-67 (+5)   44-49        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (-2)  52-57 (-24)  94-99        61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G20                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  6        NW  9 G22    NW  6 G20    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     50           30           0            70
Precip duration       1            1                         3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing                8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   7 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.03         0.00         0.32
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6200                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4000                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 18                     SE 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 111600                    61100
Dispersion                         62 Good                   26 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         5
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 10 G20                 S  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  8        NW 12 G22    NW  8 G20    S  6

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the 60s
to 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-252000-
East Tennessee District East-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      48-53 (-3)   62-67 (+1)   44-49        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      93-98 (+7)   55-60 (-8)   95-100       56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  8 G17                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  5         NW  8 G20    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     60           40           0            60
Precip duration       2            1                         2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing                8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing                Continuing
Precip amount         0.13         0.05         0.00         0.16
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5500                      5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4000                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 15                     E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 82500                     54000
Dispersion                         51 Gen good               36 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G17                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W  7         NW 11 G20    NW  6 G15    N  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph early in the evening
becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. West winds less
than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 80s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-252000-
East Tennessee District West-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-2)   62-67 (+2)   46-51        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      92-97 (-2)   54-59 (-17)  92-97        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  7 G15                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  5        NW  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      NONE         showers
Chance precip (%)     40           30           0            50
Precip duration       1            1                         1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing                8 AM
Precip end            Continuing   6 PM                      Continuing
Precip amount         0.05         0.03         0.00         0.18
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5900                      4500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4600                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 14                     E 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 82600                     45000
Dispersion                         54 Gen good               27 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  7        NW  9 G16    N  5         LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 40s. Northwest winds
less than 10 mph early in the evening becoming light.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to
upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the upper 60s to lower 80s. South winds less
than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-252000-
Cumberland District South-
251 PM EDT Tue Apr 24 2018 /151 PM CDT Tue Apr 24 2018/

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thu

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy        Cloudy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (-3)   64-69 (+3)   47-52        60-65
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (-4)   52-57 (-15)  92-97        60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NW  8 G21                 E  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  8 G19    NW  9 G22    N  5 G17     LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     40           20           20           70
Precip duration       1            1            1            3
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   2 AM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.02         0.01         0.01         0.27
LAL                   3            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                4100                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)                NW 16                     E 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft)                 83200                     39600
Dispersion                         55 Gen good               23 Fair
Max LVORI                          4                         4
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NW 11 G21                 E  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G19    NW 11 G22    N  6 G17     NE  5

Remarks...None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 40s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s.
North winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s
to mid 70s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 70s.
South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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