Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN
000
FNUS54 KMRX 201923
FWFMRX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018
...Low relative humidity values Saturday afternoon below 30%...
.DISCUSSION...
High pressure and dry conditions will continue into the weekend, keeping
dry conditions around on Saturday and for most of Sunday. However,
another low pressure system will build east through the Lower
Mississippi Valley on Sunday, bringing an increasing chance of rain
to the area beginning Sunday evening.
VAZ001-002-005-006-008-212030-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Clear MClear PCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 31-36 (+3) 65-70 (+7) 41-46 65-70
RH % (24h trend) 79-84 (+4) 19-24 (-9) 79-84 31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 6
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 8 G22
Precip type NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 5 4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 6200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3300 4100
Transport wnd (mph) S 5 SE 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27000 62000
Dispersion 13 Gen poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI 3 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 5 SE 7
33ft wind-PM(mph) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 11 G22
Remarks...None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
40s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southeast
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ018-041-043-045-047-212030-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Clear Clear PCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 31-36 (+4) 62-67 (+6) 40-45 61-66
RH % (24h trend) 76-81 (+4) 24-29 (-6) 73-78 32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 6 SE 10 G22
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 6 G18 SE 11 G29
Precip type NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 5 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 5700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2600 2900
Transport wnd (mph) S 7 SE 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 37800 85500
Dispersion 15 Gen poor 36 Fair
Max LVORI 3 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 7 SE 11 G22
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR S 5 SE 7 G18 SE 14 G29
Remarks...None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 30s to
upper 40s. Southeast winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to 60s. East winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ072-074-212030-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Clear Clear PCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 33-38 (+5) 61-66 (+3) 42-47 59-64
RH % (24h trend) 77-82 (+6) 25-30 (-1) 71-76 38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 9 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 5 G17 SE 10 G33
Precip type NONE NONE NONE showers
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 40
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 8 AM
Precip end Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 5 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5500 5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 2500 2400
Transport wnd (mph) NE 5 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27500 75600
Dispersion 9 Poor 26 Fair
Max LVORI 3 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 5 SE 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph) E 5 LGT/VAR SE 6 G17 SE 13 G33
Remarks...None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Windy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s to
lower 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 30 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s to lower
50s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ087-102-212030-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Clear MClear PCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 35-40 (+5) 67-72 (+4) 45-50 60-65
RH % (24h trend) 81-86 (+6) 25-30 (-2) 74-79 46-51
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 6 G17 SE 12 G30
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 5 G17 SE 13 G35
Precip type NONE NONE NONE showers
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 70
Precip duration 2
Precip begin Continuing
Precip end Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 5 2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3300 2600
Transport wnd (mph) SE 8 SE 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 43200 108100
Dispersion 22 Fair 53 Gen good
Max LVORI 3 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 8 G17 SE 15 G30
33ft wind-PM(mph) NE 5 SE 5 G15 SE 6 G17 SE 17 G35
Remarks...None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s. Southeast
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s.
North winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the 50s to 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
NCZ060-061-212030-
Nantahala National Forest-
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Clear Clear PCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 34-39 (+6) 66-71 (0) 42-47 58-63
RH % (24h trend) 83-88 (+3) 25-30 (0) 82-87 47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 7 G16 SE 10 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 6 G16 SE 6 G15 E 13 G32
Precip type NONE NONE NONE showers
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 60
Precip duration 2
Precip begin 8 AM
Precip end Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 5 2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3100 3100
Transport wnd (mph) SE 9 SE 22
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48600 118800
Dispersion 25 Fair 56 Gen good
Max LVORI 3 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 9 G16 SE 13 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 8 G16 SE 7 G15 E 17 G32
Remarks...None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows in the 40s. East winds 5 to 20 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds up to
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-212030-
East Tennessee District East-
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Clear MClear PCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 31-36 (+2) 66-71 (+5) 41-46 67-72
RH % (24h trend) 88-93 (+7) 24-29 (-5) 81-86 30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 5 SE 6 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 10 G24
Precip type NONE NONE NONE NONE
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 5 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 5500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 3900 4000
Transport wnd (mph) SE 5 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27000 66000
Dispersion 17 Gen poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI 4 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 6 SE 7 G16
33ft wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR E 5 SE 12 G24
Remarks...None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s to
lower 50s. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the 40s to lower 50s.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs
in the mid 50s to upper 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-212030-
East Tennessee District West-
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Clear MClear PCldy MCldy
Temp (24h trend) 34-39 (+3) 67-72 (+5) 45-50 63-68
RH % (24h trend) 88-93 (+9) 25-30 (-2) 78-83 41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 5
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR E 8 G23
Precip type NONE NONE NONE showers
Chance precip (%) 0 0 0 30
Precip duration 1
Precip begin 8 AM
Precip end Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 4 3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4100 3400
Transport wnd (mph) SE 5 SE 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 27000 56400
Dispersion 17 Gen poor 35 Fair
Max LVORI 4 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) LGT/VAR E 5
33ft wind-PM(mph) NE 5 LGT/VAR LGT/VAR E 10 G23
Remarks...None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. East winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
East winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Highs in the 60s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Northwest winds less
than 10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
TNZ077-079>085-097>101-212030-
Cumberland District South-
323 PM EDT Fri Apr 20 2018 /223 PM CDT Fri Apr 20 2018/
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud cover Clear MClear PCldy Cloudy
Temp (24h trend) 36-41 (+4) 68-73 (+5) 46-51 60-65
RH % (24h trend) 92-97 (+14) 23-28 (-3) 78-83 51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph) SE 6 G18 SE 8 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph) LGT/VAR SE 6 G18 SE 5 G15 E 10 G27
Precip type NONE NONE showers showers
Chance precip (%) 0 0 20 80
Precip duration 1 5
Precip begin 2 AM Continuing
Precip end Continuing Continuing
Precip amount 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.37
LAL 1 1 1 1
LASI/Haines 5 2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL) 5400 4000
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)* 4200 2900
Transport wnd (mph) SE 10 SE 23
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 92000
Dispersion 37 Fair 56 Gen good
Max LVORI 3 3
33ft wind-AM(mph) SE 8 G18 SE 10 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph) NE 5 SE 7 G18 SE 6 G15 E 13 G27
Remarks...None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers. Lows near 50. East winds 5 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms.
Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows near 50. East
winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 60s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s. Highs in the 60s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. Northwest winds less than
10 mph.
*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.
$$
- National Weather Service
- Morristown, TN Weather Forecast Office
- 5974 Commerce Blvd.
- Morristown, TN 37814
- (423) 586-3771
- Page Author: MRX Webmaster
- Web Master's E-mail: sr-mrx.webmaster@noaa.gov
- Page last modified: Mar 8th, 2018 20:36 UTC