Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 292055
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
355 PM CDT Sun Mar 29 2020

.SHORT TERM (Tonight through Monday Night)...

A warm front continues to push north through the evening, with
onshore flow and some scattered showers moving through the area.
Temperatures will remain nearly steady tonight, keeping us mild.
Convection will continue through the short term as an upper level
disturbance approaches and PWATs increase to near 2 inches. The
upper disturbance will move north of the area for Monday, with an
increasing chance of showers across the north through Monday
afternoon. The associated frontal boundary will move across the area
Monday night into Tuesday morning, shifting winds to offshore
flow.

&&

.LONG TERM (Tuesday through Sunday)...

A weak frontal boundary will push through South Texas early Tuesday
morning and offshore just before noon. Very little, if any, rain is
expected with the front. Much drier air will filter in behind the
front with midlevel ridging to occur. With the front being Pacific
in origin, temperatures are not expected to be modified greatly,
allowing highs to still warm into the 80s and 90s under clearing
skies. Onshore flow will quickly return Wednesday as surface high
pressure shifts to the east. Moisture will increase with the aid of
a weak area of low pressure across northeastern Mexico and another
weather system developing across the southern plains. An approaching
mid-level shortwave will help trigger showers and a few
thunderstorms Thursday as it moves across Texas. Rain chances will
continue through Friday ahead of the next approaching cold front to
move through some time Friday night or Saturday.

Warm temperatures will continue through Friday before cooling over
the weekend into the upper 70s to lower 80s.

&&

.MARINE...

Easterly light to moderate winds will transition to southeasterly
flow tonight and Monday as a warm front pushes north. Brief SCEC
conditions will be possible through Monday. A slight chance of
showers and an isolated thunderstorm will continue through Monday,
then end Monday night. A weak frontal boundary is expected to
move across the Waters Tuesday, and contribute to much drier
conditions and weak to moderate northeast flow by Tuesday night.
However, onshore flow and increasing moisture will return
Wednesday, as surface high pressure moves east. Weak to moderate
onshore flow will continue Thursday as surface low pressure
deepens over the Southern Plains. The combination of an upper
level disturbance and greater moisture will contribute to isolated
showers and thunderstorms Thursday and Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    70  83  69  89  62  /  30  30  10   0   0
Victoria          66  82  67  83  56  /  30  40  10   0   0
Laredo            67  86  67  90  62  /  30  30  10   0   0
Alice             67  85  67  90  59  /  30  40  10   0   0
Rockport          70  80  71  85  65  /  30  30  10   0   0
Cotulla           65  85  62  88  58  /  30  40  10   0   0
Kingsville        69  85  68  90  60  /  30  40  10  10   0
Navy Corpus       71  80  71  84  66  /  30  30  10  10   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

LS/77...SHORT TERM
CB/85...LONG TERM



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