Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
376 FXUS64 KCRP 081132 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 632 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 627 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026 - Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 4) for excessive rainfall over the northern Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. - Low to medium rain chances persist over South Texas through early this week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1050 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026 A medium (40-70%) chance of showers and thunderstorms will diminish to a low (15-35%) chance of showers and thunderstorms through the day today. Rain chances will then persist into early next week with deep moisture (PWATs 1.5-1.6") and a series of shortwaves pulse across the area. Models agree fairly well on the another cold front approaching Wednesday, with a reinforcing front Thursday. This frontal system will lead to another increase in shower and thunderstorm chances by the middle of the week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 627 AM CDT Sun Mar 8 2026 Rain chances will continue today, mostly showers with a few thunderstorms. The best chance of TSRAs will be this morning across LRD, COT and VCT. Showers will be possible through the afternoon and evening, then taper off tonight. A mix of IFR and MVFR conditions expected today, with LIFR possible due heavier rainfall. By this evening, IFR conditions due to patchy fog is expected. && .MARINE... Issued at 1050 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026 Winds will diminish to a gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) through Monday. Winds will increase once again to a moderate to fresh breeze (BF 4-5) Monday night ahead of another cold front. A medium (40-50%) chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue through today before decreasing to a low (<25%) chance tonight. Low rain chances will persist into early next week. Another cold front will approach the area by the middle of the week, bringing greater chances for showers and thunderstorms with it. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1050 PM CST Sat Mar 7 2026 Light winds and elevated relative humidity values will limit any fire weather concerns into early next week. Drier air and stronger winds ahead of a cold front by the middle of the week could lead to elevated fire weather conditions Tuesday and Wednesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 77 70 83 71 / 50 20 20 0 Victoria 74 66 83 69 / 40 10 20 0 Laredo 71 65 87 71 / 70 50 10 20 Alice 77 68 87 69 / 60 30 20 0 Rockport 76 70 80 71 / 60 10 20 0 Cotulla 70 65 85 69 / 60 30 30 20 Kingsville 79 69 86 70 / 60 20 20 0 Navy Corpus 75 70 78 71 / 50 20 20 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...LS/77 AVIATION...TE/81