Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
763 FXUS64 KCRP 150608 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 108 AM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 106 AM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026 - Showers and Thunderstorms in the Northern Brush Country to the Victoria Crossroads today. - Slight Risk For Excessive Rainfall in the northern portions of the region. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 106 AM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026 Mostly showers and some isolated thunderstorms are persisting in the Brush Country currently and will persist through the night. This is in association with the mid-level disturbance and boundary located in Central Texas. Activity will be mainly confined to the north extending east to the Victoria Crossroads by the morning and persisting through the day. With the presence of deep moisture, any showers and storms that form will be capable to produce locally heavy rainfall with rainfall rates around 1-3 inches per hour. Most of the northern portions of the region will remain in a Slight risk for Excessive Rainfall, though confidence is low in the exact rainfall amounts. Thursday and into the weekend chances we will see activity begin to wane as drier air advects into the region. Can`t rule out the possibility for sea breeze born convection however. Seasonal conditions will be expected as we head into the next week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 106 AM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026 No significant changes to the previous forecast discussion. VFR conditions expected tonight across the eastern terminals. Periods of MVFR CIGs will exist overnight across western locations from COT to LRD. Rain showers and thunderstorms will be possible through the TAF cycle at LRD,VCT,COT. Otherwise, BKN to OVC conditions across the area through the period. There will be periods of gusty winds in the late morning into the afternoon hours out of the SE. && .MARINE... Issued at 106 AM CDT Wed Jul 15 2026 Generally moderate to fresh conditions (BF 4-5) will be expected through the weekend with seas increasing to 4-5 ft. Generally low to medium (25 to 40 percent) rain chances are expected through Thursday. && .HYDROLOGY... Issued at 159 PM CDT Tue Jul 14 2026 Heavy rainfall upstream from Laredo over the next couple days along the Rio Grande could lead to significant flooding, particularly along the Rio Grande at Laredo. This largely hinges on exactly where the heaviest rain falls, so for now we have opted to issue a River Flood Watch for the Rio Grande at Columbia Bridge and Laredo. As we watch upstream gauges and where the heaviest rain falls, flood warnings will be issued as needed. Stay tuned to the latest forecast if you live anywhere along the Rio Grande. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 89 80 90 80 / 30 20 10 0 Victoria 86 76 89 77 / 60 30 30 10 Laredo 94 78 97 78 / 30 30 10 0 Alice 90 77 92 77 / 30 20 10 0 Rockport 89 82 90 82 / 50 20 20 10 Cotulla 89 75 91 76 / 60 50 30 10 Kingsville 89 79 91 79 / 20 10 10 0 Navy Corpus 88 82 89 83 / 30 20 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...LS/77