Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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FXUS62 KFFC 181900
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
300 PM EDT Wed Sep 18 2019


.SHORT TERM /Tonight through Thursday Night/...
No development of SHRA/TSRA so far this afternoon tho seeing
enhanced mid level cloud and cumulus development further SW over SE
AL and WC GA near AL state line. Could see isold convection fire
later this afternoon in area in between this area and cumulus/
stratocumulus field over eastern GA. After midnight, chances go down
below 10%.

As advertised previously, significantly drier/cooler air pushing
into tonight and Thurs. 12Z guidance dropped temps just a degree
or so more than previous runs. Other than some high clouds,
should be a beautiful day Thurs.

SNELSON


.LONG TERM /Friday through Wednesday/...
The long term period is expected to be fairly quiet and mostly
dry through the rest of the extended forecast. High pressure at
the surface that was more centered along the eastern coast is
expected to shift more over the area. Coupled with high pressure
aloft, the area is expected to remain dry through at least the
weekend, but will also allow for temperatures to begin to increase
back above seasonal norms by the weekend. Around Tuesday/
Wednesday, a front is expected to approach the area but models are
showing differences in moisture across the area. Leaned towards
the drier ECMWF for this forecast.


Temperatures Friday will be much closer to seasonal norms with highs
in the 70s in the mountains with low to mid 80s elsewhere. For the
weekend into next week, high temperatures will continue to trend
upward to the widespread 90s across much of the area by Monday,
about 7 to 12 degrees above average. Low temperatures Saturday
through Sunday will be just around average in the 50s in the
mountains up to low 60s elsewhere. For the first half of next week,
temperatures are expected to be above average, in the upper 60s.

Reaves


&&

.AVIATION...
18Z UPDATE...
Mainly SCT-BKN MVFR cumulus impacting most airports thru 02Z then
VFR conditions. Could see some isold SHRA/TSRA over KMCN and KCSG
rest of this afternoon and early evening but otherwise no
activity expected thru the forecast. Sfc winds will remain E at
8-12kts with a few gusts possible.

//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
High confidence on all elements.

Deese

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          64  80  55  81 /   5   5   0   0
Atlanta         68  81  59  82 /   5   5   0   0
Blairsville     58  73  51  76 /  10  10   0   0
Cartersville    67  82  58  84 /   5   5   0   0
Columbus        70  85  62  86 /  20   5   0   0
Gainesville     65  78  57  81 /   5   5   0   0
Macon           66  83  58  85 /  10   0   0   0
Rome            66  83  59  84 /   5   5   0   0
Peachtree City  67  83  58  84 /  10   5   0   0
Vidalia         64  84  61  86 /  10   0   5  10

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SNELSON
LONG TERM....Reaves
AVIATION...SNELSON


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