Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
948
FXUS62 KFFC 141950
AFDFFC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
250 PM EST Thu Nov 14 2024


...Afternoon Area Forecast Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 233 PM EST Thu Nov 14 2024

Surface analysis shows a cold front across far NW GA with a wedge
still in place across far NE GA. The front will continue to push
southward this afternoon, eventually mixing out any remains of the
wedge. High pressure, cooler temperatures and dry conditions will
build in behind the exiting frontal boundary. Temps for Friday will
be near normal values.

Patchy light rain will continue ahead of the front across the far SE
portion of the CWA for the next few hours. QPF amounts will be light
and generally average around a tenth of an inch. Some patchy fog is
possible, but winds speeds should keep widespread and/or dense fog
at bay.

NListemaa

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday morning through next Wednesday)
Issued at 233 PM EST Thu Nov 14 2024

The extended starts out dry and cool with lows Sat morning in the 30s
and 40s across the area. High pressure which began to build into the
area from the short term strengthens through the weekend becoming
centered over the Carolinas and N GA by Sun morning. This ridge will
keep things dry but we will see a slight warming trend beginning
Sunday afternoon through Tues.

We will begin to see a pattern change Monday night into Tuesday as
the high pressure ridge shifts eastward becoming centered just off
the GA coast by 12z Tue. A cutoff low begins to develop along the
MX/TX/NM border Sunday morning then moves rapidly NE into the
central/northern plains by Monday afternoon. There is still some
uncertainty with respect to the intensity of the low and how it will
impact Georgia, especially as it gets absorbed by a deep trough
digging into the central CONUS. However, guidance is trending
towards better agreement on a cold front extending from this low
advancing towards the Lower Mississippi River Valley by Tuesday
morning. Precip chances increase from west to east for GA beginning
Tue afternoon/evening as this boundary moves into the region.

Meanwhile, a tropical cyclone is anticipate to be positioned to the
west of the Yucatan Peninsula early Tuesday, then advance
east/northeast through the Gulf of Mexico. Due to the ridge over the
Atlantic coast/west Atlantic blocking northward progression and the
cold front (and aforementioned trough) pushing any potential
tropical cyclone south and east of GA. The models continue to track
any tropical cyclone activity through the Florida Peninsula
Wed/Thu.

01

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1142 AM EST Thu Nov 14 2024

Cigs will gradually improve for the remainder of the afternoon
into the early evening. SCT MVFR cigs may linger through the
overnight hours into tomorrow. Some potential for bouncing between
sct/bkn MVFR tomorrow.

//ATL Confidence...18Z Update...
Med confidence cigs. Med-high confidence remaining elements.

NListemaa

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Athens          44  66  42  66 /   0   0   0   0
Atlanta         47  63  44  67 /   0   0   0   0
Blairsville     43  59  37  66 /  10   0   0   0
Cartersville    45  62  40  67 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus        48  69  45  71 /   0   0   0   0
Gainesville     46  64  43  66 /   0   0   0   0
Macon           46  67  44  69 /   0   0   0   0
Rome            46  63  41  67 /   0   0   0   0
Peachtree City  44  64  40  68 /   0   0   0   0
Vidalia         50  67  47  69 /  20   0   0   0

&&

.FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...NListemaa
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...NListemaa