Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 232212

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
312 PM MST Sat Jun 23 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Breezy winds will continue through the weekend along
with a slight cool down in daytime temperatures. A return to
above average temperatures is expected by the middle of next week
as strong high pressure builds back in across the Southwest.


.DISCUSSION...Breezy winds, low relative humidity values, and a
slight cool down in temperatures will persist through the weekend.

Strengthening high pressure is then expected to return to the
Desert Southwest into the middle of next week with hot daytime
temperatures across the area, generally 5 to 10 degrees above
normal by Wednesday.

Models in the extended portion of the 7-day forecast indicate the
potential for a weak trough to drop into the region by the end of
next week. This would bring a return to cooler and gusty
conditions. There`s still no strong signal for a moistening
monsoonal flow developing during the next 8 days.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z Package...VFR conditions under mostly clear
skies will persist over the next 24 hours. West-southwest winds 10-
20 kts with gusts of 20-30 kts gradually diminishing after 02z Sun.
Winds will remain locally gusty through the night northeast of
higher terrain features. Winds will restrengthen areawide after 16z
Sun, but speeds will be weaker than today. Aviation discussion not
updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Critical fire weather conditions will continue
across northern Coconino and Navajo counties through early this
evening. Locally gusty southwest winds will continue into Sunday.
High temperatures will cool to near normal values Sunday before
another warming trend begins Monday.

Tuesday through Thursday...Lighter winds are expected Tuesday with
afternoon southwest breezes becoming stronger Wednesday and
Thursday. High temperatures will increase back to well above normal.


this evening FOR AZZ104>107-109.




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