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000
FXUS62 KJAX 250652
AFDJAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
252 AM EDT Wed Apr 25 2018

.NEAR TERM (Today and Tonight)...
Skies will be partly cloudy as a dry westerly flow dominates the
area. West winds will become breezy this afternoon with seasonal
temperatures and low humidity continuing.

.SHORT TERM (Thursday and Friday)...
A shortwave trough will move through the Southeast, and a broad
area of low pressure will develop along with it. Southwesterly
flow aloft and at the surface will strengthen as this feature
approaches to our north, and this system will bring just a slight
chance for showers or a few rumbles of thunder to southeast
Georgia late Thursday night. These low chances will continue into
Friday as the trailing front moves into north central Florida, but
models do continue drying this feature out for the most part as
it moves through our area. High temperatures each day will remain
in the upper 70s to low 80s, with overnight lows in the upper 50s
(low 60s at the beaches). Another shortwave trough digs southward
late Friday night, but isn`t expected to affect sensible weather
much other than if the timing of the front is a bit slower than
forecast.

.LONG TERM (Saturday through Wednesday)...
Northwest flow will continue across the area on Saturday, with
mainly clear skies and high temperatures in the low 80s. High
pressure across the eastern Great Lakes will build southward and
upper level ridge will start building to the west across the
Mississippi River valley, though it looks much weaker than
previous runs. Sunday high temperatures will be in the low to mid
80s with Atlantic seabreeze developing. Onshore flow will become
more pronounced on Monday and continues through Wednesday as high
pressure strengthens and remains centered across the Carolinas and
mid-Atlantic states.

&&

.AVIATION...
Clouds increasing from the nw will result in ceilings 5-8 kft
early this morning. Scattered to broken clouds expected today with
VFR conditions expected to continue. Westerly winds will be 10 to
15 knots today.

&&

.MARINE...
Offshore flow will continue the next few days with wind
speeds and sea heights expected to mostly remain below headline
criteria. The exception will be Thursday night when SCEC conditions
will be possible offshore due to a cold frontal passage.

Rip Currents: Low risk today and Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  78  54  80  57 /   0   0  30  30
SSI  79  60  77  62 /   0   0  10  10
JAX  83  59  83  61 /   0   0  10  10
SGJ  81  59  81  61 /   0   0  10  10
GNV  81  56  82  60 /   0   0  10  10
OCF  80  55  82  60 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Zibura/Elsenheimer/