Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
466 FXUS62 KKEY 270233 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1033 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 618 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024 Currently - Surface winds are light and mostly out of the east. This is due to a broad surface Atlantic ridge stretching across Florida. This evenings sounding indicated no inhibition with near normal precipitable water and ample CAPE. With that said, convective activity has been quite limited near the island chain. More recently, clusters of showers with a few thunderstorms have begun to roll into our outer eastern waters. Surface conditions are also near normal with temperatures in the mid 80s and dew points in the mid 70s. Short Term Update - The surface through lower level ridge will weaken some as it gets squeezed by falling pressures off the Carolina Coast. Overall, ridging will remain the dominant feature and limit convective forcing and the steering flow will be fairly weak. As a result, despite the upstream activity shower and thunderstorm activity in the Keys will be slight but non zero. Expect near normal overnight lows in the lower to mid 80s and dew points remaining in the mid 70s. && .MARINE... Issued at 618 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024 A sloppy surface Atlantic ridge will remain across the Florida Peninsula overnight. This will keep winds light and broadly out of the east. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible. No changes planned for the evening marine update. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 618 PM EDT Fri Jul 26 2024 VFR conditions will prevail at the island terminals overnight. With that said, brief sub VFR conditions cannot be ruled out as shower and thunderstorm potential is not zero. Surface winds will be light and broadly out of the east. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...11 Aviation/Nowcasts....11 Data Acquisition.....DR Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest