Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA

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FXUS64 KLCH 121208
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
608 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2019

.AVIATION...Will see increasing Gulf moisture advancing over the
region today as low level southerlies return lifting above a
shallow cold layer over the region. Overcast stratocu at around
3K ft has advanced into Acadiana this morning including ARA and
LFT, and scattered to broken stratocu should advance into the
region further including the terminals of LCH and BPT. Overall
however believe VFR will prevail, while winds remain light and
somewhat variable. Models suggesting some BR/FG potential late
tonight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 439 AM CST Thu Dec 12 2019/

DISCUSSION...
Cold across the north tier of the US this morning with Dakota`s
reporting single digits. The central and eastern US also remain
on the cold side behind the latest front. Down along the gulf...
Brownsville is reporting 49 with Beaumont at 40 degrees and New
Orleans checking in at 49 under clear skies.

We have moved into a quiet weather pattern for this region as
the next several frontal systems that are progged to stall to the
north. Aloft the trof pattern will remain to the east with
gradual zonal flow developing over the central gulf. Friday will
be nice with lows near 50 and highs near 70. Over the weekend
partly cloudy skies with afternoon highs into the upper 70s from
Beaumont Tx to Lafayette and a bit cooler up towards Alexandria.
But overall a nice weekend on tap.

Late Sunday into Monday will see the approach of the next system
that will begin to effect southeast Texas and southern Louisiana.
Look for clouds moving in late Sunday into Monday with showers and
isolated thunderstorms Monday ahead of the front. At this time
not looking at a severe weather potential with this front. Rainfall
totals around 1/2 inch. Storms to change over to rains behind the
front. Much colder temperatures will follow in the wake of the
frontal passage for Tuesday and Wednesday.

Marine...
Winds and seas to gradually taper off through the day today and
into Friday as the pressure gradient loosens. Moderating winds and
seas over the weekend. Winds becoming southerly late Sunday ahead
of the next frontal system on Monday. Showers and isolated
thunderstorms will spill into the gulf ahead of the front changing
over to rains behind the front. Strong north winds with seas
building behind the front late Monday into Tuesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  59  41  66  43 /   0  10  10  10
LCH  61  47  69  49 /   0  10  10   0
LFT  62  50  69  50 /  10  10  20  10
BPT  61  48  69  49 /   0  10  10   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Exercise Caution until 6 AM CST early this morning
     for GMZ450-452-455-470-472-475.

&&

$$


AVIATION...23


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