Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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FXUS64 KMEG 200748

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Memphis TN
248 AM CDT Thu Sep 20 2018


Skies are mostly clear across the forecast area early this morning
with temperatures ranging from the upper 60s to mid 70s. The upper
level ridge which has kept will remain in place over the region
for one final day bringing more hot and dry weather. Afternoon
temperatures will once again be above normal with highs in the mid
90s. Tonight will remain dry as well as the upper ridge starts to
slide off to the east. Temperatures will remain on the warm side
with lows Friday morning in the low to mid 70s.

By Friday, a cold front will start to approach the region from the
northwest bringing showers and thunderstorms into the forecast
area. With the increase in clouds and rain, temperatures will not
be as hot with highs in the upper 80s to lower 90s. As the cold
front enters the forecast area Friday night, the chance of
thunderstorms will increase. Temperatures will be a little cooler
with lows Saturday morning in the mid 60s to lower 70s.

The cold front will continue to move slowly through the forecast
area on Saturday with more thunderstorms expected. Temperatures
will vary quite a bit across the forecast area depending on where
the cold front is with highs ranging from the lower 70s to upper
80s. The cold front will remain across the forecast area for
Saturday night and Sunday with more thunderstorms expected
especially on Sunday. Temperatures will remain on the cool side
for the remainder of the weekend as well.

By Sunday night, the cold front will start to lift back north as a
warm front and weaken. There will still be a few thunderstorms
possible both Sunday night and Monday. By Tuesday, a new cold
front will approach the region and then move into the forecast
area on Wednesday. This front will produce more thunderstorms for
both Tuesday and Wednesday. Temperatures will be near normal
levels on Tuesday but drop back below normal on Wednesday.



06Z TAFs

Patchy fog may produce MVFR conditions overnight at MKL and JBR.
Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail at sites through the
period. Light winds will increase to South winds between 5-10 kts
after 15Z.




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