Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000 FXUS64 KOHX 050437 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 1037 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021 .UPDATE... FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .DISCUSSION... Spectacular early March day across the state with temperatures currently ranging from around 60 on the northern Cumberland Plateau to 70 in our southwest counties. A weak cold front moving through the area is already bringing drier air in from the northeast, with cooler days and nights anticipated over the weekend. Low temperatures tonight will drop into the upper 20s on the northern Plateau and low to mid 30s elsewhere, with even colder nights in the mid 20s to low 30s each of the following 3 nights after that - along with highs only in the upper 40s and 50s. This is a good time to remind everyone that Middle Tennessee can see freezing temperatures well into April, so don`t get excited by the warm temperatures today and start planting that garden just yet. Very benign and dry weather pattern looks to continue into at least the middle of next week as a large Bermuda surface high takes hold across the southeastern U.S. and upper ridging prevails into the Tennessee Valley. However, temperatures will be on the way up with highs reaching the 60s on Monday and Tuesday, and 70s by Wednesday and Thursday, along with much warmer nights in the 40s and 50s. 12Z model suite shows the upper ridge breaking down somewhat by Wednesday night into Thursday, which may allow a few showers to sneak in from the northwest and will keep low pops in the forecast for this possibility. && .AVIATION... 06Z TAF DISCUSSION. With flight categories for this TAF cycle being VFR, this is basically a wind forecast which consists of light north-northeast winds overnight and an easterly breeze tomorrow afternoon. Occasional gusts 15-18 knots possible. && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION......Shamburger AVIATION........Unger

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