National Weather Service Text Product Display

Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

-- Highlight Changed Discussion --

-- Discussion containing changed information from previous version are highlighted. --
000
FXUS64 KOHX 050437
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1037 PM CST Thu Mar 4 2021

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Spectacular early March day across the state with temperatures
currently ranging from around 60 on the northern Cumberland
Plateau to 70 in our southwest counties. A weak cold front moving
through the area is already bringing drier air in from the
northeast, with cooler days and nights anticipated over the
weekend. Low temperatures tonight will drop into the upper 20s on
the northern Plateau and low to mid 30s elsewhere, with even
colder nights in the mid 20s to low 30s each of the following 3
nights after that - along with highs only in the upper 40s and
50s. This is a good time to remind everyone that Middle Tennessee
can see freezing temperatures well into April, so don`t get
excited by the warm temperatures today and start planting that
garden just yet.

Very benign and dry weather pattern looks to continue into at
least the middle of next week as a large Bermuda surface high
takes hold across the southeastern U.S. and upper ridging
prevails into the Tennessee Valley. However, temperatures will be
on the way up with highs reaching the 60s on Monday and Tuesday,
and 70s by Wednesday and Thursday, along with much warmer nights
in the 40s and 50s. 12Z model suite shows the upper ridge
breaking down somewhat by Wednesday night into Thursday, which
may allow a few showers to sneak in from the northwest and will
keep low pops in the forecast for this possibility.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

With flight categories for this TAF cycle being VFR, this is
basically a wind forecast which consists of light north-northeast
winds overnight and an easterly breeze tomorrow afternoon.
Occasional gusts 15-18 knots possible.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Shamburger
AVIATION........Unger

National Weather Service National Headquarters