329
FXUS64 KOUN 220754
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
154 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 152 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

- Warmer temperatures through the end of the week.

- Some low rain chances this weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 152 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Temperatures should finally climb above freezing area wide this
afternoon with highs forecast in the 40s. Snowpack in northern
Oklahoma may temper highs a bit, so will run 3-4 degrees below
guidance here. A front will move through during the day, bringing
breezy north winds behind it. Cooler air will lag farther behind,
mainly impacting Thursday.

Lows tonight will fall into the 20s, though with clear skies and
fairly light winds, localized areas could see temperatures fall into
the upper teens due to radiational cooling.

Day

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Thursday through Friday night)
Issued at 152 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Thursday represents a slight dip in temperatures with highs forecast
in the upper 30s to mid 40s as cooler air filters in from the north.
Winds will be slightly breezy.

A return to southwest winds Thursday night will allow Friday to warm
into the 50s.

Day

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 152 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Another cold front is set to move into northwest Oklahoma on
Saturday, yielding a steeper temperature gradient with highs in the
40s across northwest Oklahoma (behind the front) and warming into
the mid to upper 50s along I-44 into western north Texas (just ahead
of the front around peak heating).

Moisture return will support low chances for rain in southeast
Oklahoma Saturday night into Sunday. With cold air advection and
extensive cloud cover, Sunday`s highs will be restrained to the 40s.

Beyond Sunday, uncertainty increases considerably as models struggle
with how to handle a cut-off low approaching from the western CONUS.

Day

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1050 PM CST Tue Jan 21 2025

Unrestricted ceilings and visibilities will continue.

Southerly winds will continue with a strengthening low-level jet
resulting in low-level wind shear (LLWS) tonight.

Winds will veer toward the southwest tomorrow morning, ahead of a
cold front. The cold front will move through all the terminals,
shifting winds to the northwest.

Mahale

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  44  23  40  21 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         48  23  43  19 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  49  24  46  22 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           40  19  38  16 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     40  20  37  17 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         45  25  45  22 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...14
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...10