Area Forecast Discussion Issued by NWS Oklahoma City, OK
000
FXUS64 KOUN 060347
AFDOUN
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1047 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2023
...New AVIATION...
.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2023
A few widely scattered, slow-moving summertime thunderstorms will be
possible this afternoon, dissipating soon after sunset with the loss
of daytime heating. This activity is mainly diurnally driven with no
focusing mechanism and little to no shear. Severe is not expected,
but a few strong wind gusts and heavy rain totals will be possible.
Tomorrow will be more of the same. Diurnally driven afternoon
convection with strong winds and heavy rain totals (especially given
slow moving storms) being the main concerns.
Day
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2023
This pattern of weak flow with diurnally driven thunderstorms
continues through about Thursday. A few models hint at a shortwave
diving south through Missouri Thursday night. Additionally, there
are some signs of slightly better low level flow over the weekend.
This could allow for some somewhat better organized convection, but
thus far it`s a fairly weak signal. Temperatures will continue near
average.
Day
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2023
VFR conditions to continue.
Isolated storms remain this evening, but chances remain too low to
mention at any site. Othewise, overnight expect light northeast
winds along with some mid/high clouds. There will be a low end
chance of afternoon storms again Tuesday, but expected to be more
isolated than today and chances to low to mention in TAFs at this
time.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK 63 85 64 86 / 30 20 0 20
Hobart OK 62 85 63 87 / 20 10 0 20
Wichita Falls TX 64 89 65 88 / 20 10 0 10
Gage OK 59 83 59 84 / 20 10 0 20
Ponca City OK 62 87 64 88 / 30 20 10 10
Durant OK 65 89 65 90 / 20 20 0 20
&&
.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...30