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000
FXUS64 KOUN 060347
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1047 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2023

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2023

A few widely scattered, slow-moving summertime thunderstorms will be
possible this afternoon, dissipating soon after sunset with the loss
of daytime heating. This activity is mainly diurnally driven with no
focusing mechanism and little to no shear. Severe is not expected,
but a few strong wind gusts and heavy rain totals will be possible.

Tomorrow will be more of the same. Diurnally driven afternoon
convection with strong winds and heavy rain totals (especially given
slow moving storms) being the main concerns.

Day

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Sunday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2023

This pattern of weak flow with diurnally driven thunderstorms
continues through about Thursday. A few models hint at a shortwave
diving south through Missouri Thursday night. Additionally, there
are some signs of slightly better low level flow over the weekend.
This could allow for some somewhat better organized convection, but
thus far it`s a fairly weak signal. Temperatures will continue near
average.

Day

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1031 PM CDT Mon Jun 5 2023

VFR conditions to continue.

Isolated storms remain this evening, but chances remain too low to
mention at any site. Othewise, overnight expect light northeast
winds along with some mid/high clouds. There will be a low end
chance of afternoon storms again Tuesday, but expected to be more
isolated than today and chances to low to mention in TAFs at this
time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  63  85  64  86 /  30  20   0  20
Hobart OK         62  85  63  87 /  20  10   0  20
Wichita Falls TX  64  89  65  88 /  20  10   0  10
Gage OK           59  83  59  84 /  20  10   0  20
Ponca City OK     62  87  64  88 /  30  20  10  10
Durant OK         65  89  65  90 /  20  20   0  20

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...14
LONG TERM....14
AVIATION...30