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182
FXUS61 KPHI 170722
AFDPHI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ
322 AM EDT Tue Mar 17 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
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Updated wind and temperatures for today and tonight. Added a
climate section for one record from yesterday.
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&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
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- Gusty winds today with gusts 30 to 35 mph. Gale warnings.

- A cold front will bring chances for showers Friday night and early
  Saturday.
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.DISCUSSION...

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KEY MESSAGE 1... Gusty winds today with gusts 30 to 35 mph. Gale
warnings.

KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
Strong low pressure moving down the Saint Lawrence Valley today will
help produce a strong pressure gradient across the Middle Atlantic
region. West to Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph with gusts 30 to 35
mph are expected today. The winds will slowly diminish later today.
The winds will bring cold temperatures to the area today. Highs will
only be in the 30s across the N/W areas and low 40s for Delmarva and
south NJ. Winds chill temps will be in the 30s S/E and 20s N/W.

Gale warning will be in effect until 6AM for the ocean but will be
converted to SCA thereafter.

KEY MESSAGE 2... A cold front will bring chances for showers Friday night and
early Saturday.

While there are still model differences. It`s possible that some rains
and possibly snow (N/W) areas could accompany a cold front. Right
now, we have chance POPs for Friday night and slight chance POPs
for Saturday morning.
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.AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...

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.Today... VFR. West to Northwest winds 15 to 20 kts with gusts
up to 30 kts, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt with 20 to 25 kt gusts
later this afternoon. High confidence.

.Tonight... VFR. Northwest winds 10 to 15 kts with gusts up to
20 kts in the evening, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. High confidence.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Friday... VFR expected. Fair weather.

Friday night and Saturday... Mostly VFR but restrictions in rain
are possible Friday night.
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.MARINE...
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The Gale flag will continue for a few more hours when it will be
replaced with a SCA flag. The SCA flag will run through tonight
for the ocean and (probably) into the early evening for Delaware
Bay. Fair weather today and tonight.

Outlook...
Lingering SCA conditions on the ocean for Wednesday as seas will
decrease back below 5 ft by midday. Sub-SCA conditions for
Wednesday night through Friday night. A few low-end SCA seas for
Saturday.
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.CLIMATE...
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The was a new daily record precipitation total was set for
Mount Pocono, PA yesterday. A RER product was issued.
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.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NJ...Coastal Flood Advisory until 5 AM EDT early this morning for
     NJZ020-026.
DE...None.
MD...None.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 6 AM EDT early this morning for ANZ430-431-
     450>455.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...OHara
AVIATION...OHara
MARINE...OHara