Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV

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FXUS65 KREV 132148
AFDREV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Reno NV
248 PM PDT Fri Apr 13 2018

.SYNOPSIS...

Dry weather returns with a warming trend through Saturday. The next
storm system will bring gusty winds Sunday and then rain and snow
late Sunday through Monday. Another storm is possible later next
week. Below average temperatures are expected for next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

High pressure will bring even warmer temperatures Saturday across
the region with temperatures to near 70 degrees in the western
Nevada valleys and 50s in the Sierra.

Sunday, winds will increase across the region as a low pressure
system moves into the West Coast. The thermal and pressure
gradients will tighten up well over the region with many locations
seeing pretty stiff sustained winds ahead of the cold front. Wind
gusts up to 40-50 mph will be possible Sunday afternoon with high
wind gusts possible along the wind prone areas along US-395 from
Susanville through Mono County. Some areas of blowing dust may be
possible on Sunday afternoon as well, especially east of Reno-
Carson City towards Fallon-Lovelock-Yerington.

By Sunday night the precipitation will begin to move into the
northern Sierra with snow levels between 5500-6500 feet, then
falling to valley floors after midnight and into early Monday
morning. Moderate snow amounts are likely in the Sierra for Sunday
night, with several inches likely for the 5500-6500 foot elevation,
including Lake Tahoe. The higher passes in the Sierra and Tahoe
Basin, especially along the Sierra Crest could see up to a foot of
snow during this time. With snow levels falling to valley floors
by early Monday morning, we could potentially see a light dusting
on the valley floors of western Nevada and northeast California
for the Monday morning commute. Foothill areas in the western
Nevada, including Virginia City, could see up to a few inches of
snow as well. -Hoon

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through Friday...

The pattern of a system every 2-3 days will continue next week. One
system will be exiting on Tuesday with a warm up through Wednesday,
followed by another system Wednesday night and Thursday.

Wednesday night and Thursday`s system is still varying in intensity
and organization among simulations. In the spring it can be
difficult for the models to latch on to any particular solution this
far in advance, especially given the more disjointed, less organized
nature of many spring systems. Therefore, caution is advised when
using any one solution in the extended. Still, many simulations
bring in at least a broad trough with some showers indicated in the
Sierra. With a broad trough bringing colder air aloft overhead, it
is likely that cumulus will develop with daytime heating/instability
on Thursday. Therefore, a broad-brush slight chance to chance of
showers is still valid. -Snyder

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail for most terminals across northeast CA,
the Sierra, and western NV through Saturday with late day west
breezes to 20-25 kts (especially north of Highway 50) on Saturday.
However, there is a 40% chance for areas of FZFG at/near KTRK
between 2 AM-8 AM (09Z-15Z) Saturday.

The next storm will bring moderately strong sustained south to
southwest winds Sunday. Pockets of LLWS in terrain-channeled flow
and near wind rotors will also be possible.

Accumulating snow and IFR conditions are expected at the Sierra
terminals Sunday night. The chances for snow accumulation on paved
areas look minimal for western Nevada terminals, with a slightly
higher chance for KMEV than at other terminals. -Snyder

&&

.REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NV...None.
CA...None.
&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit...
http://weather.gov/reno



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