806
FXUS64 KSJT 130539
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1239 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 208 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024

A return to early August temperatures is in store for the area
tonight into tomorrow. Upper level ridging will move into the area
this afternoon into Friday. This ridging, along with 850mb
temperatures warming 3 to 6 degrees Celsius will result in highs
Friday afternoon in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees, and mostly
sunny skies. Lee troughing will cause winds to turn more southerly
and pick up to between 10 and 15 mph. Tonight will be warm, with
lows will be in the mid to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 253 PM CDT Thu Sep 12 2024

The hottest temperatures of the long term forecast are this weekend,
with lower but still above normal temperatures continuing into next
week.

A shortwave upper ridge will be over the southern Plains and Texas
this weekend into early next week. Winds will be from the south each
day with partly cloudy to mostly sunny skies expected. Per
indications with the 850mb thermal ridge expanding east into our
area, the hottest days are expected to be Saturday and Sunday. Highs
will be in the mid to upper 90s across our southern counties into
the Heartland (east-central counties), and mostly in the upper 90s
to around 100 degrees in the Big Country and Concho Valley.
Overnight lows will be on the warm side as well, in the lower to mid
70s Saturday and 70-73 degrees on Sunday.

In the early and middle parts of next week, a broad upper trough
will be over the western CONUS. With a more blocked pattern over
much of the eastern half of the country, the aforementioned western
US trough will essentially remain in place until late in the week.
Given these indications, rain chances should be confined mostly to
West Texas and the Panhandle, in closer proximity to a lee surface
trough. Not carrying mentionable PoPs in our area at this time, and
will continue to monitor subsequent model trends. Temperatures in
our area next week will not be as hot, but will remain above normal.
This to occur with winds from the south to southeast and slight
weakening of the 850mb thermal ridge. Highs will be in the lower
to mid 90s, and lows will be mostly in the lower 70s, with a few
upper 60s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1234 AM CDT Fri Sep 13 2024

VFR conditions expected the next 24 hours. Expect mainly light
and variable winds overnight, becoming south 12 knots or less
after 15Z Friday, although could see a few gusts between 15 and
20 knots at KABI and KSJT during the afternoon hours. Expect
light winds again by tomorrow evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     97  75  99  72 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  99  74  99  70 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    97  72  96  69 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   97  72  99  70 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  99  75 100  72 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       96  72  94  70 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       96  72  96  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...24