Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KSJT 302319
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
619 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Friday)
Issued at 152 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022

A well developed cumulus field had developed over West Central
Texas this afternoon. While a brief shower or thunderstorm is
possible, mainly along and south of the I-10 corridor this
afternoon, coverage should be less than 10 percent so rain
chances were not added. A similar setup is in store for Friday,
with upper ridging suppressing almost all shower and thunderstorm
development...though once again, one or two brief showers or
thunderstorms possible...but not added to the forecast as
coverage will be very low. Southeast to south winds of 5 to 12 mph
will otherwise prevail, with highs 95 to 100 Friday and lows in
the lower 70s tonight.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 226 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022

Other than scattered storms Saturday afternoon and potentially a few
afternoons where a few small isolated showers/storms could occur,
conditions will likely be dry in the long term, with a gradual
warming trend and highs reaching back into the low 100s by Tuesday.

An upper level short-wave trough will move from east to west across
our region on Saturday, bringing increased moisture (precipitable
water increasing to 1.4-1.7 inches) and instability (ML CAPEs
increasing to around 1000-1500 J/KG). With the capping inversion
being eroded by the disturbance aloft, expect scattered storms to
develop in the afternoon, mainly south of I-20. Locally heavy
rainfall will be possible underneath heavier storms. This activity
will be diurnally driven, and should dissipate by mid evening. With
the higher amount of cloud cover, expect highs Saturday very
slightly cooler than previous days (around 94-98).

The upper level ridge will continue to hang around Texas through
Sunday before the ridge strengthens across our region Monday through
the work-week. Models indicate that by the ridge will become
abnormally strong across the Four Corners region by next Friday.
This should mean a gradual warming trend, with high temperatures a
degree or two higher each day. Expect highs Sunday around 94-98, 95-
100 on Monday, 97-102 Tuesday, and 98-103 Wednesday and Thursday.
Overnight lows will continue to be warm (70s).

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 619 PM CDT Thu Jun 30 2022

VFR conditions with fairly light south to southeast winds
overnight.  Winds shifting east tomorrow afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     72  98  73  97 /   0   0   0  10
San Angelo  74  98  75  96 /   0  10  10  20
Junction    73  96  75  95 /   0  10  10  30
Brownwood   72  96  74  96 /   0   0  10  20
Sweetwater  74  98  74  97 /   0   0   0  10
Ozona       73  95  74  94 /   0  10  10  20
Brady       72  95  74  94 /   0  10  10  30

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...04
LONG TERM....SJH
AVIATION...SK


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.