Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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000
FXUS64 KCRP 250205 AAA
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
905 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2019

.DISCUSSION...00Z CRP sounding indicated the mid level inversion
held strong over the coastal plains. With loss of heating and high
convective inhibition, storms along the outflow boundary have
quickly diminished as they pushed toward the coast. Have reduced
PoPs accordingly for the rest of this evening. Hi-res models show
possibility of isolated to scattered showers or storms over the
waters into the overnight hours but coverage will be much lower.
Removed PoPs from the morning hours over the coastal waters on
Thursday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 634 PM CDT Wed Apr 24 2019/

DISCUSSION...See Aviation section for 00Z TAFs.

AVIATION...Strong to severe thunderstorms have become linear
along the advancing frontal boundary that is along a HBV-BEA line.
Storms appear to be on pace to move through the coastal plains
by 03Z. Storms will be capable of producing gusty winds, heavy
rain leading to lowered vsbys/IFR, and possibly some hail. Post
frontal cloud cover will provide MVFR ceilings into the early
overnight period. For the Brush Country behind the front this
evening, MVFR ceilings could linger for a couple of hours in the
LRD area before clearing occurs. Elevated convection over Mexico
has shown diminishing trends but could affect LRD until 02Z.
Conditions will improve to VFR for the area by 09-10Z. Clear skies
are expected for the area Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    66  87  64  88  64  /  30  10   0   0   0
Victoria          64  83  61  86  60  /  30  10   0   0   0
Laredo            63  90  64  93  64  /  10   0   0   0   0
Alice             64  87  61  89  60  /  20   0   0   0   0
Rockport          67  82  66  84  67  /  30  10   0   0   0
Cotulla           58  88  59  88  60  /   0   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        65  88  62  89  62  /  20   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       69  82  69  84  69  /  30  10   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.

&&

$$

TMT/89...SHORT TERM


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