Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
FXUS63 KGID 042350
AFDGID

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
650 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2020

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 325 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2020

The precipitation that has been moving through the forecast area is
weakening, but is actually moving out of the forecast area this
afternoon. Clouds remain across the eastern part of the forecast
area, but have broken up some for the west.

Expect the showers and thunderstorms to be out of the area before
too long and clouds should start to diminish. The temperatures
should rebound a little with even just a little bit of sunshine.

The chance for precipitation tonight is still a bit of a challenge.
Most of the forecast models keep much of the area dry tonight. There
is an upper level wave that moves through northern Nebraska and
there could be a chance for some precipitation in the far northern
part of the area tonight. There is also an upper level wave that
moves tot he southwest of the forecast area and brings some
precipitation to the southwest as it moves through. In between,
appears to be a dry swath. That is what most of the models portray
as happening, but there are a couple that bring in more
precipitation to the middle part of the forecast area. Have kept
with the dry portion of the forecast area.

Wednesday should be mostly dry. If there is any precipitation
tonight, it should have moved out of the area by Wednesday morning,
but there is a weak wave that moves in from the west during the
afternoon and there could be a few showers and thunderstorms in the
far north late in the afternoon.  Clouds will diminish during the day
and temperatures will warm to a few degrees either side of 80.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 325 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2020

There continues to be a few weak upper level waves that move into
the area Wednesday night. Models have a variety of different timing
and locations for precipitation during the night. Have kept some
small chances across much of the area, but not sure just where or
how much precipitation there will be. Thursday will be dry with a
ridge trying to build into the area and temperatures will warm into
the 80s. There is another weak wave Thursday night and more small
chances for precipitation.

Friday through Sunday an upper level ridge starts to build into the
area. Temperatures will warm into the 90s. There are a few upper
level waves that move across the ridge. This should bring a few
chances for showers and thunderstorms, but at this time it appears
that it will be mostly nighttime thunderstorms that move in from the
west.

Monday through Tuesday the ridge flattens out a little and there
continues to be a few weak upper level waves that move through.
There could be some on and off thunderstorms. Temperatures will be a
little cooler.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 00Z Thursday)
Issued at 646 PM CDT Tue Aug 4 2020

Significant wx: None

Tonight: VFR. SCT to BKN clds around 5-7K ft expected this eve
into overnight. Can`t completely rule out iso shwr/tstm out of
this deck of clds, but chcs too low to include VCTS at this point.
Winds will be SE 6-10kt. Confidence: Medium.

Wed: VFR. Expect continued variable clds between 5-10K ft through
the morning, but generally decr w/ time. May see some aftn CU 3-4K
ft. Winds will incr by midday out of the S, with gusts up to 20kt.
Confidence: Medium.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...JCB
LONG TERM...JCB
AVIATION...Thies


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