159
FXUS63 KLBF 151021
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
421 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal high temperatures today and Thursday


- Above normal high temperatures today and Thursday


- A cold front moves in Friday with much colder temperatures
  this weekend


&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 419 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025

A warm front will advance eastward today with westerly sfc
winds bringing a downslope flow and warmer temperatures to the
area. Did trend towards the warmer models and increased
temperatures a couple degrees across southwest Nebraska. A
similar setup will be in place Thursday and also increased
temperatures Thursday across southwest Nebraska into the
southern Sandhills. Temperatures on Thursday will be the warmest
of the week as WAA on Thursday will be stronger, should see
temperatures reach the lower 50s across the southern CWA.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 419 AM CST Wed Jan 15 2025

A shift in the weather pattern will begin at the end of
the week as an upper level trof moves southward in the High Plains.
A cold front at the sfc will provide some lift as it advances south
and east across western and north central Nebraska. There is the
potential for some light snow across western Nebraska, generally
west of HWY 83 where the forcing is better. At this time snow
amounts look to remain light, generally less than 1 inch.

Colder Arctic air will infiltrate behind the sfc cold front with
highs on Saturday only reaching the teens to low 20s. Just how much
of the cold air moves into the area remains uncertain as it will be
dependent on the location of where the low moves through the region,
as there is the potential the coldest air may stay to the east of
our CWA.

However, confidence is medium to high that we will at least
see low temperatures below zero, along with wind chills, over the
weekend. Will need to monitor the trend of where the low will track
as a slight shift could bring even colder temperatures to the area
and Extreme Cold Advisories (which replaces the wind chill advisory)
may be need for portions of the area. This cold spell should be
brief as temperatures begin to rebound back into the 20s by Tuesday,
as the upper level low should be well to the east by then and high
pressure from the west moves in.


&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1103 PM CST Tue Jan 14 2025

For the KLBF terminal: Some broken ceilings around 2500 FT AGL
are expected through 09Z overnight with scattered high
cloudiness expected there after. For the KVTN terminal: Broken
mid level cloudiness around 5000 FT AGL, will persist through
11z this morning with scattered high cloudiness expected there
after. Winds at the KVTN terminal, may gust from the west at
around 25 KTS Wednesday afternoon, before diminishing around 00z
Thursday.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Buttler