218
FXUS65 KLKN 152106
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
206 PM PDT Wed May 15 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Above normal temperatures in the upper 70s and 80s
will continue through Friday across the area. Cloud development
across central Nevada will return Friday but better chances for
showers and thunderstorms hold off until Saturday and especially
early next week as a low pressure system brings some Pacific
moisture into the region. However, widespread wetting rains are
not expected.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Thursday night

Benign weather conditions under a weak ridge aloft will persist
through Thursday night across all of central and northern Nevada.
North flow at the surface will continue as well through this
afternoon before ridge begins to flatten Thursday and wind
direction becomes more northwesterly. Wind speeds today and
Thursday afternoon will be 10-15 knots, becoming light drainage
flow tonight and Thursday night. Temperatures will rise Thursday
under the ridge to the upper 70s and lower 80s across the area
with with lows dropping into the 40s and some lower 50s across the
lower valleys in west-central and southern Nevada.

.LONG TERM...Friday through next Tuesday.

Upper pattern becomes more active during the long term period as
a series of shortwaves move thru the PacNW from the northwest and
impact Nevada. Weather to remain dry Friday and Saturday with
afternoon northwesterly breezes present. Gusts 20 to 30 mph can be
expected with the higher end of the range focused across northern
Nevada as a wave skirts the region. Daytime highs will be mostly
in the 70s with low 80s across portions of central Nevada.
Overnight lows reside mostly in the upper 30s to upper 40s.

Stronger wave to move thru early next week bringing isolated
precipitation and potentially thunderstorms to portions of the the
forecast area beginning Sunday afternoon. That said,
probabilities remain in the 10 to 25 percent range. Northwesterly
breezes continue with locally windy conditions also present. Gusts
up to 30 to 40 mph will be possible. Cooler temperatures in place
early next week as well with daytime highs in the mid 60s to mid
70s and overnight lows in the low 30s to low 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours
with breezes across central Nevada becoming light to calm thru the
evening. Generally light winds will be present across the
forecast area tomorrow.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...An upper-level ridge will keep fair, dry weather
over the region through Friday. Temperatures will be above normal
in the upper 70s and lower 80s with daytime relative humidity
reaching to around 10% across central Nevada. North winds of
10-15 mph will transition to a more northwest direction Thursday
with similar wind speeds. Opportunities for isolated afternoon
thunderstorms with little rainfall (90% chance of less than 0.10")
inches return to central Nevada Saturday. A more active weather
pattern is expected early next week along with cooler
temperatures and higher relative humidity.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Above normal temperatures will enhance melting of
the remaining high mountain snowpack over the next several days,
with increased flows expected on several area creeks and rivers.

The Humboldt River at Comus is currently in action stage, but
expected to drop below action stage later this afternoon.

The Owyhee River at Mountain City and the Jarbidge River near
Jarbidge are currently in action stage, and are expected to
slowly rise with the continued above normal temperatures for the
next few days.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.

&&

$$

93/92/92/93