843
FXUS65 KLKN 092124
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
224 PM PDT Thu May 9 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Isolated to scattered afternoon rain showers and
isolated thunderstorms present thru Saturday along with afternoon
breezes. Warming trend also continues thru the weekend. Mostly
dry and quiet weather next week though low probability for rain
showers and thunderstorms will be present at times.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Friday night.

Rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will dissipate thru the
evening and first half of the night along with cloud cover with
mostly dry and mostly clear skies expected the latter half of the
night. Northeasterly breezes will also ease thru the evening and
tonight. Overnight lows will be in the upper 20s to upper 30s.

Closed upper low continues to reside over southern Nevada and
northwest Arizona with northeasterly flow over the forecast area.
This will bring another round of isolated to scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms under partly cloudy skies in the afternoon
with higher probabilities of activity along and south of the US
Highway 50 corridor. Modest PWATs limit the probability of wetting
rains and most rain totals will be less than 0.10. Main concerns
will be occasional lightning and erratic and gusty outflow winds
associated with thunderstorms. Showers and thunderstorms dissipate
thru the evening and first part of Friday night with cloud cover
also dissipating. Northeasterly gradient winds will again be
breezy Friday afternoon with gusts around 25 mph, easing
overnight. Daytime high temperatures will be slightly warmer than
Thursday with most observing 60s. Overnight lows will be mostly in
the 30s.

&&

.LONG TERM...Saturday through next Thursday.

Saturday, a closed low will be over Utah, allowing for
occasionally breezy north winds 10-15 mph with gusts to 25 mph,
and isolated to scattered showers to develop in the afternoon
across eastern Nevada. Highs across the state will generally be in
the 70s, with lows in the 40s.

Sunday and beyond, high pressure over the Pacific will gradually
propagate eastward, bringing quiet weather and spring like
conditions to the state though low probability for rain showers
and thunderstorms will be present at times. Highs will generally
be in the upper 70s to low 80s through next week and lows in the
40s.

&&

.AVIATION...Active weather across the eastern Nevada this
afternoon, with VCSH or VCTS expected at almost all terminals.
VFR will be the primary flight category although brief periods of
MVFR are expected under any showers or thunderstorms that move on
terminal along with gusty and erratic outflow winds. Breezy
northeasterly gradient winds will also be present in the afternoon
with gusts 20 to 25 kts. Friday, active weather shifts south,
affecting terminals ELY and TPH. VCSH or VCTS are expected there.
Breezy winds will be present across NE NV with gusts 20-25 kts.

KWMC remains AMD NOT SKED due to a communications issue.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Elevated flows continue across several streams, creeks,
and rivers throughout northern and central Nevada due to seasonal
snow melt. Temperature forecasts for the upcoming weekend and
into early next week depict spring-like temperatures into the 70s
and possibly the low 80s in some spots. Given the amount of high
elevation snowpack remaining, look for runoff to increase, causing
continued elevated flows for many area streams and rivers across
northern and central Nevada.

The Humboldt River at Battle Mountain resides in action stage and
is forecast remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Humboldt River at Comus is in action stage and is forecast to
remain in action stage for the next few days.

Wildhorse Dam currently resides in action stage and is forecast
to remain in action stage for the next several days.

The Owyhee River near Mountain City has moved out of action stage
(7.0 feet) and currently resides at 6.4 feet. The river is
forecast to fluctuate the next several days, but continue a
general decreasing trend. The flood advisory has been canceled.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

92/91/91