Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000 FXUS64 KOHX 211109 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 509 AM CST Fri Feb 21 2020 .UPDATE... FOR 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION. && .DISCUSSION... Precip is done for a couple of days, but temperatures have plummeted into the low to mid 20s. Surface winds are still a bit breezy, which will put wind chills near 10 to 15 degrees around sunrise this morning. Afternoon temps will be close to 40 on the Plateau and in the low 40s elsewhere. This should help to melt any ice or snow that still lingers on the Cumberland Plateau from yesterday`s snow. Expect another dive in temperatures overnight as northerly flow continues. Teens will be likely in most places. Another warm up with plenty of sunshine will occur on Saturday. As far as rain chances go, a surface high moving across the TN Valley will keep us rain free for at least a whole 48 hours until it slides off to the east on Sunday. So a great start to the weekend if you can get over the chilly morning temperatures. An upper low swinging across the Plains will bring our next chance of rain on Sunday afternoon through Monday. Expect widespread showers and a few storms with temperatures in the 50s for most of the day on Monday. The surface low responsible for the rain will push a cold front through the mid-state sometime Monday night or early Tuesday morning as it continues off to the northeast. Rain should taper off on Tuesday morning, but only for a brief time as the next upper trough is right on the heels of our exiting low. This second wave looks a little more robust right now as it deepens over the central part of the country and swings another cold front through the Southeast on Wednesday. Winds could be gusty out of the west on Wednesday and as temperatures drop behind the front, any remaining precip would fall as a rain/snow mix, then all snow by early Thursday morning. Doesn`t look like much in the way of snowfall potential yet, but a return to lows in the 20s looks probable as we finish out the work week. && .AVIATION... 12Z TAF DISCUSSION. VFR. Northeasterly winds around 10 knots gusting to 15 knots can be expected today, becoming light around 5 knots late afternoon/evening. Some clouds are lingering around KCSV this morning, but VFR conditions should prevail with SKC expected today. && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION......11 AVIATION........Barnwell

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