Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000 FXUS64 KOHX 190142 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 842 PM CDT Thu Apr 18 2019 .UPDATE... FOR EVENING DISCUSSION. && .DISCUSSION... Showers and a few thunderstorms are moving through a bit quicker this evening than previously forecasted, so updated pops to push chances through the east earlier. Models are trending a bit higher this evening and early overnight with QPF, but radar estimates of 1.25 to 1.5 inches with the initial band so far has lined up with consensus. If 00Z runs come in with additional QPF with the deepening 850 mb low, will update the forecast again to account for more rainfall. Bright banding showing up very well on radar and is skewing radar rain estimates a bit, but western areas behind the initial band showing around a tenth to quarter of an inch in the previous hour. Also adjusted temps slightly since the cooler air is moving in faster with the precip. Other than that, forecast is on track. && .AVIATION... 00Z TAF DISCUSSION. Showers and thunderstorms will impact all terminals this evening and early overnight, with cigs dropping to MVFR followed by IFR. Vis will be IFR and even LIFR with the heaviest rain. VCSH will linger through the overnight hours into the morning Friday, but additional showers will move in during the afternoon at all terminals. Southerly winds around 10 to 20 knots gusting up to 30 knots will continue this evening before the front passes, and winds will be more westerly/northwesterly around 10 to 15 knots gusting up to 25 knots for the remainder of the TAF period. && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ DISCUSSION......Barnwell AVIATION........Barnwell

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