Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KTSA 160814
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
314 AM CDT Sun Jun 16 2019

.DISCUSSION...
Decaying Thunderstorm complex rolling across eastern
Oklahoma at this hour. The leading edge of this complex
is expected to continue to spread through southeast
Oklahoma and into western Arkansas as we move through
the remainder of the night. We could see wind gusts of around
45 mph with these storms. Will also need to keep eye on the
thunderstorms across southeast Kansas into southwest Missouri
in the vicinity of a cold front. This area could potentially surge
to the south as we move closer sunrise affecting portions of
northeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas. Will let the Flash
Flood Watch ride as is through 7 am.

The potential for thunderstorms continues Today and into Tonight
as the frontal boundary currently to our north sags into northern
portions of the area and a mid-level shortwave slowly moves across
the region. We also have a MCV over north-central Oklahoma this
morning that will slowly meander across northeast Oklahoma Today.
There is the potential that any of the thunderstorms could become
strong to severe with strong gusty winds the main concern. Locally
heavy rainfall is also a concern to the slow storm movement expected
Today.

Several rounds of thunderstorms are expected this week. Monday, we
will see thunderstorms develop across the area as the mid-level
shortwave currently affecting the area moves across eastern Oklahoma
and western Arkansas and the surface boundary lingers across the area.
Tuesday night, we are likely to see a thunderstorm complex move into
eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas from the northwest. Wednesday
will see another round of thunderstorms as one more mid-level
shortwave traverses the area. Thursday and Friday are expected to
be on the dry side with shower and thunderstorm chances increasing
over the weekend as the next frontal boundary approaches the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   84  66  84  66 /  50  50  30  20
FSM   85  68  83  67 /  80  60  70  30
MLC   82  66  81  67 /  70  70  50  30
BVO   84  66  84  65 /  50  50  30  20
FYV   80  65  79  64 /  80  60  70  30
BYV   82  65  81  64 /  80  60  70  30
MKO   82  66  81  66 /  70  60  50  20
MIO   82  65  82  64 /  70  50  50  20
F10   82  66  81  66 /  60  60  40  20
HHW   85  69  81  69 /  80  70  60  40

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flash Flood Watch until 7 AM CDT this morning for OKZ054>068-070-
     071-073.

AR...None.
&&

$$


LONG TERM....10


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.