Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
FXUS65 KFGZ 281618

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
918 AM MST Wed Oct 28 2020

.SYNOPSIS...A warming trend will begin today with daytime
temperatures climbing to above normal by Thursday, lasting through
the weekend. Otherwise, look for dry conditions.


.UPDATE...Patchy fog continues during the mid-morning hours today
within the Little Colorado River valley. Surface observations and
satellite imagery do show the fog clearing out though and this
trend is expected over the next two hours.

Otherwise, look for snow from the recent snowstorm in eastern
Arizona to melt today as skies clear out into the afternoon hours.
Temperatures today will be 10-15 degrees warmer compared to
Tuesday afternoon. This warming trend will only continue into the
end of the work week and throughout the weekend.

Only minor short-term temperature and wind edits were made to the
morning forecast with this update.


.PREV DISCUSSION /315 AM MST/...The most recent low pressure
system was heading to the east and out of Arizona during the
morning hours. Over the next several days a milder air mass will
spread across Arizona resulting in warming daytime temperatures.
High temperatures will climb to near normal today reaching 5 to 10
degrees above normal by Thursday and through the coming weekend.
No moisture or dynamics to speak of so dry conditions are
expected through Sunday. The dry conditions will ensure
seasonably cold overnight temperatures. Surface pressure
gradients will favor local northeast breezes at times primarily
from the Mogollon Rim southward.

For early next week...A weak low pressure system to the southwest
of Arizona will draw limited moisture across the state which
could result in a slight chance of showers. Otherwise, above
normal temperatures and light winds are anticipated.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...IFR conditions, caused by fog,
continues to decrease in coverage late this morning from KINW to
KRQE to KJTC throughout east-central Arizona. Expect VFR conditions
areawide by 19z. Light morning winds will become NW-NE at 10G20KT
between 17Z and 01Z. Light and variable winds after 01Z. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Expect warming daytime temperatures, dry conditions
and light northwesterly to northeasterly breezes today, becoming
more easterly Thursday. Overnight will have light drainage winds.

Friday through Sunday...Look for warm temperatures, light winds
and dry conditions.






For Northern Arizona weather information visit is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.