Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 181644

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
944 AM MST Sun Nov 18 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather with near to slightly warmer than normal
temperatures are expected to persist across northern Arizona
through Wednesday. Unsettled conditions may develop for
Thanksgiving and at times through the holiday weekend, with slight
chances for showers.


Fair weather will continue today as a dry cold front pushes south
across the state. Not much change is expected in the rather quiet
and seasonable forecast through Wednesday, though we can`t rule
out a slight chance of showers for the White Mountains Tuesday
night during a passing weak disturbance. An unsettled pattern may
emerge by Thanksgiving and the coming holiday weekend, with slight
chances for showers anticipated to develop at times.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z Package...Expect primarily VFR conditions
over the next 24 hours with scattered high clouds along and
south of I-40 through 20Z. Northeast winds will remain light at 10
kts or less. Smoke from a prescribed fire will reduce visibility
at KGCN after 02z Mon. Other localized visibility reductions due
to area prescribed fires are also a possibility. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...A dry cold front pushing through the area will
shift winds to the north to northeast today, bringing cooler
daytime temperatures along and north of the Mogollon Rim. North to
northeast winds will last through Monday with near normal

Tuesday through Thursday...Near normal daytime temperatures will
persist through Wednesday. Generally light winds will return to
a more southwesterly direction by Wednesday. A trough crossing the
region on Thursday could bring some light precipitation along
with cooler temperatures and breezy conditions.






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