Area Forecast Discussion
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000
FXUS62 KKEY 230712
AFDKEY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Key West FL
212 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...
.CURRENTLY...
KBYX detects widely separated showers throughout the forecast
area. Skies over the island chain are mostly clear. Winds over
land are east near 15 mph. C-MAN winds, on average, are east to
southeast at 15 to 20 knots. Temperatures are in the mid 70s.

.SHORT TERM (Today through Sunday)...
An Atlantic ridge of high pressure will extend across the
Southeastern United States today and tonight. This ridge of high
pressure will slowly shift southward down the Florida peninsula
Saturday through Sunday. Rain chances in the short term portion of
the forecast will be highest tonight as an area of enhanced
atmospheric moisture near the Western Bahamas passes through the
Florida Keys.

&&

.LONG TERM (Sunday night through Thursday)...
An Atlantic ridge of high pressure will extend across Central
Florida Sunday night, before retreating eastward Monday. A cold
front will progress southward down the Florida peninsula Monday
night and Tuesday. This cold front will stall over South Florida
Tuesday night, before dissipating Wednesday. An Atlantic ridge of
high pressure will build across South Florida Wednesday night and
Thursday. No more than slight chance POPs are needed in the long
term portion of the forecast at this time.

&&

.MARINE...
A Small Craft Advisory is in effect for the coastal waters of the
Florida Straits today due to sustained east to southeast winds
near 20 knots. A Small Craft Advisory will likely be required for
the coastal waters of the Florida Straits tonight. A Small Craft
Advisory may be required for the coastal waters of the Florida
Straits Saturday and Saturday night. No advisories expected Sunday
through at least Tuesday night.

&&

.AVIATION...
Occasional passing showers may impact EYW and MTH through the
night and early morning, producing brief episodes of MVFR
conditions. Otherwise, VFR conditions are expected with east
winds near 10 knots, veering to east to southeast and increasing
to 10 to 15 knots, with gusts near 20 knots during the day.

&&

.CLIMATE...
The average temperature so far this month (through February 22nd)
at Key West International Airport is 76.3 degrees. As a result,
Key West is on pace for its second warmest month of February ever
since temperature records began in 1872. The current monthly
record of 77.0 degrees was set in 1959.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Key West  82 73 81 73 / 30 40 30 30
Marathon  83 74 82 74 / 30 40 30 30

&&

.KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory for GMZ052>055-072>075.

&&

$$

Public/Marine/Fire...BS
Aviation/Nowcasts....MCLOVIN

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