Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FXUS62 KMFL 211936
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
336 PM EDT Thu Mar 21 2019

.DISCUSSION...
A much drier weather pattern than we`ve had the last several days
is in store for the upcoming week. The cold front has pushed
through the area, with high pressure and much drier air filtering
in behind it. This morning`s sounding only had 0.97 inches of
precipitable water, which is just below average and a stark
contrast to the 1.81 inches we had just two days ago. Even drier
conditions will be possible until winds become easterly again on
Saturday as the surface high pressure pushes eastward. Easterly
flow remains in place with moisture gradually returning to the
area through around Tuesday, when a cold front could push through
the area. If the front makes it through South Florida, only a few
showers are expected along with it at this time.

Friday and Friday night will actually be the coolest of the week
as dry and cool air continue to filter southward across the area
today. Highs tomorrow are forecast in the 70s across the whole
area with low temperatures Friday night forecast in the mid to
upper 40s across the Lake region to the mid to upper 50s along the
East Coast metro areas. A gradual warming trend will then set in
through the forecast period, with a slight setback due to the
weak cold front on Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Generally N to NW winds will continue for the next day or so
before becoming E on Saturday and increasing on Sunday as surface
high pressure slides off to the east. Elevated winds and seas will
continue over the Atlantic waters tonight before subsiding on
Friday. A Small Craft Advisory will be in effect for all Atlantic
waters tonight.

A Coastal Flood Statement is in effect for coastal Collier County
through Friday and the East Coast through Friday night for tide
levels around 1 foot above normal during high tides. This is
largely due to the combination the super moon and spring equinox.
Impacts should be fairly minimal but could include minor ponding
of water on streets, parking lots, piers, and docks in the most
vulnerable locations along the coast and intracoastal waterways.


&&

.AVIATION...
A drying trend along with clearing skies is expected as high
pressure builds across the region. Generally VFR conditions are
forecast across all terminals, however, periods of brief MVFR
cigs will be possible along the east coast sites this afternoon
through roughly 00Z. NW winds will remain around 8 to 10 knots for
much of the period across all taf sites.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
West Palm Beach  53  75  54  77 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  56  75  58  78 /  10   0   0   0
Miami            56  76  57  79 /  10   0   0   0
Naples           55  73  53  76 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 10 AM EDT Friday
     for AMZ651-671.

     Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT Friday for AMZ650-670.

GM...None.
&&


DISCUSSION...32/MM
MARINE...32/MM
AVIATION...11/HVN







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